Match Info

US Open Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Cashman Field (Las Vegas, NV)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Las Vegas Lights		Chattanooga Red Wolves

	1	X	2
	1.48	4	5	Watch
	1.49	4.2	5.8
	1.47	4.07	6.18
	1.5	4.11	6.37	Watch
	1.5	4.15	6.52	Watch
	1.49	4.2	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.42)	4.12 ↓ (4.42)	5.95 ↓ (6.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Vegas Lights
62.1%

Draw
22.4%

Chattanooga Red Wolves
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

20.9%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

20.4%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Chattanooga Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Las Vegas Lights - Chattanooga Red Wolves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ammeter N. (G) 20. Smart S. 5. Gartig E. 24. Howell M. 33. Nigro G. 17. Leal P. 42. Peeters D. 7. Gyau J. 27. Noel V. 10. Azcona E. 9. Pickering N.	12. Jerez R. (G) 18. Green O. 4. Watters D. 22. Kinzner E. 2. Jackson K. 16. Gomez O. 66. Knapp M. 3. Jnohope T. 40. Alhassan A. 14. Hernandez P. 9. Vazquez Z.
Substitutes
8. Gannon C. 13. Humphrey T. 96. Miller C. (G) 34. O'Driscoll R. 6. Pearson C. 11. Pinzon C. 18. Singer J.	5. Ayimbila J. 10. Bentley M. 17. Hernandez O. 31. Morris G. 11. Ramos J. 1. Smith J. (G) 8. Ualefi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Vazquez Z. ⚽, Jackson K. (A),
34', Jnohope T. 🟨,
36', Alhassan A. 🟨,
39', Gyau J. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Azcona E. (Pen),
45+1', Gomez O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Howell M. ↓, Singer J. ↑,
46', Gomez O. ↓, Morris G. ↑,
48', 1 - 2, Hernandez P. ⚽,
58', Pickering N. ↓, Pinzon C. ↑,
62', 2 - 2, Pinzon C. ⚽,
66', Leal P. ↓, Pearson C. ↑,
66', Peeters D. ↓, O'Driscoll R. ↑,
66', Jackson K. ↓, Ayimbila J. ↑,
66', Jnohope T. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
72', Ayimbila J. 🟨,
72', Azcona E. 🟨,
75', Alhassan A. ↓, Bentley M. ↑,
75', Vazquez Z. ↓, Hernandez O. ↑,
82', Gartig E. ↓, Humphrey T. ↑,
85', Morris G. 🟨,
86', Hernandez P. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Bentley M. (Pen),
1, Pinzon C. (Pen),
2, Ualefi (Pen),
2, Pearson C. (Pen),
3, Hernandez O. (Pen),
3, O'Driscoll R. (Pen),
4, Hernandez P. (Pen),
4, Noel V. (Pen),
5, Green O. (Pen),
5, Nigro G. (Pen),

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Las Vegas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Chattanooga have a series of guest games.

In this match Las Vegas is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship
12.04.25	Lexington - Las Vegas Lights	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Las Vegas Lights - Orange County SC	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Oakland Roots - Las Vegas Lights	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Las Vegas Lights - New Mexico United	2:3 ✺
08.03.25	Las Vegas Lights - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWTLW
- Chattanooga Red Wolves
USL League One
12.04.25	AV Alta - Chattanooga Red Wolves	3:2 ✺
05.04.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - South Georgia Tormenta	2:2 ✺
US Open Cup
02.04.25	Chattanooga - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:2 penalties ✺
USL League One
28.03.25	Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves	0:0 ✺
US Open Cup
18.03.25	New Jersey Alliance - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LTWTW

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