Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Georgetown, KY)

Referee: Vincze R. (Hun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+, SportsEngine Play


	Lexington		Las Vegas Lights

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.70	4.10
	1.57	3.80	4.60
	1.73	3.95	4.62
	1.68	3.92	4.56	Watch
	1.69	3.90	4.55
	1.72	3.91	4.32	Watch
	1.64	3.75	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.55)	3.85 ↓ (4.07)	4.45 ↓ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lexington
55.3%

Draw
24%

Las Vegas Lights
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

22.6%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

22.6%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Las Vegas Lights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Lexington - Las Vegas Lights Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Semmle O. (G) 12. Zengue X. 5. Burks K. 23. Brown J. 2. Greene J. 16. Ferri B. 6. Molloy A. (C) 8. Nick Firmino 15. Okello N. 7. Epps M. 9. Goodrum P.	13. Lanphier C. (G) 6. Sessock N. 30. Ofeimu B. 33. Guillen A. 81. Antonoglou T. 18. Locker C. 27. Probo G. 23. Ybarra M. 14. Rodriguez J. 11. Pinzon C. (C) 25. Anderson O.
Substitutes
40. Addams G. (G) 14. Caborn A. 34. Fry M. 21. Muir M. 19. Scott T. 24. Stockton B. 31. Thompson B. (G) 20. Yosef M.	9. Arteaga M. 1. Henry T. (G) 3. Jones N. 17. Leal P. 7. Mines B. 43. Okyere A. 45. Pope B.
Coaches
Hemmi M.	Rensing D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Goodrum P. 🟨,
37', Ofeimu B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Nick Firmino ⚽, Ferri B. (A),
54', 2 - 0, Epps M. ⚽, Goodrum P. (A),
57', Ofeimu B. ↓, Jones N. ↑,
57', Locker C. ↓, Leal P. ↑,
67', Pinzon C. ↓, Arteaga M. ↑,
67', Ybarra M. ↓, Okyere A. ↑,
76', Nick Firmino ↓, Fry M. ↑,
78', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
83', Semmle O. 🟨,
85', Antonoglou T. ↓, Pope B. ↑,
87', Fry M. 🟨,
88', Brown J. 🟨,
90+2', Goodrum P. ↓, Caborn A. ↑,
90+6', Sessock N. 🟨,
90+7', Epps M. ↓, Yosef M. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, Lexington is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lexington SC
USL Championship
15.08.26	Sacramento Republic - Lexington	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Lexington - Phoenix Rising	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Lexington - Monterey Bay	3:2 ✺
25.07.26	Tulsa - Lexington	0:0 ✺
22.07.26	Lexington - Oakland Roots	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWTW
- Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship
15.08.26	Las Vegas Lights - Brooklyn	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Miami - Las Vegas Lights	0:1 ✺
05.08.26	Las Vegas Lights - Oakland Roots	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Detroit City - Las Vegas Lights	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
02.05.26	Las Vegas Lights - Lexington	2:1
30.08.25	Las Vegas Lights - Lexington	1:0
12.04.25	Lexington - Las Vegas Lights	0:0

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