Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 30

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Domenico Francioni (Latina) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	18:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Latina		Sorrento

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.2	3
	1.98	3.1	3.8	Watch
	2.02	3.13	4.24
	2.14	3.05	3.43	Watch
	1.95	2.88	3.8
	1.99	3.13	4.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.07)	3.08 ↓ (3.28)	3.72 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Latina
45.4%

Draw
29.9%

Sorrento
24.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.5%

28.1%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

27.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Latina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Latina than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Latina - Sorrento Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Latina will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Sorrento will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.32) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Latina (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Latina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
67. Mastrantonio D. (G) 13. Marenco F. 32. Parodi G. 33. Carillo L. 3. Porro M. 36. Lipani J. 10. Riccardi A. 30. De Ciancio R. 2. Ercolano E. 77. Cioffi A. 97. Parigi G.	1. Del Sorbo L. (G) 46. Colombini L. 15. Solcia D. 81. Portanova D. 32. Paglino S. 28. Capezzi L. 8. Cuccurullo M. 3. Crecco L. 16. Ricci F. 11. Esposito M. 7. D'Ursi E.
Substitutes
1. Basti M. (G) 6. Calabrese B. 66. De Marchi D. 19. Di Giovannantonio G. 22. Iosa A. (G) 90. Metawie D. 5. Pellitteri A. 80. Quieto D. 4. Scravaglieri M. 9. Sylla Y. 72. Vona A.	20. Bernabeo S. 23. Cangianiello S. 31. D'Aniello A. (G) 24. Diop S. 6. Fusco F. 22. Harrasser S. (G) 21. Matera A. 85. Milan M. 4. Potenza A. 29. Santini C. 18. Tonni M. 30. Vilardi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Lipani J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Paglino S. ↓, Milan M. ↑,
59', De Ciancio R. 🟨,
59', Esposito M. ↓, Santini C. ↑,
61', Riccardi A. ↓, Pellitteri A. ↑,
61', Milan M. 🟨,
65', 2 - 0, Parigi G. ⚽,
68', Santini C. 🟨,
70', Cioffi A. ↓, Quieto D. ↑,
70', Ricci F. ↓, Tonni M. ↑,
70', Solcia D. ↓, Bernabeo S. ↑,
73', Carillo L. ↓, Calabrese B. ↑,
73', Lipani J. ↓, Scravaglieri M. ↑,
77', Capezzi L. 🟨,
80', Capezzi L. ↓, Potenza A. ↑,
90+2', Tonni M. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Latina won 1.

Recent form of Latina has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sorrento has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Latina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Latina won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Latina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sorrento	11	6	2	3	15:11	4	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Latina Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
01.03.26	Giugliano - Latina	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Latina - Potenza	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Benevento - Latina	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Altamura - Latina	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Latina - Cavese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLTLT
- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie C Group C
01.03.26	Nuova Cosenza - Sorrento	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Sorrento - Siracusa	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Monopoli - Sorrento	1:0 ✺
10.02.26	Sorrento - Giugliano	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Casarano - Sorrento	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
26.10.25	Sorrento - Latina	2:2
22.03.25	Sorrento - Latina	1:1
09.11.24	Latina - Sorrento	2:0
06.04.24	Sorrento - Latina	3:1
04.12.23	Latina - Sorrento	0:2
Italian Lega Pro C1/B
03.02.13	Sorrento - Latina	1:2

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