Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 29

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Nuova Cosenza		Sorrento

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.6	4.85	Watch
	1.7	3.64	5
	1.67	3.62	4.74	Watch
	1.67	3.25	4.6
	1.65	3.44	4.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 (1.66)	3.51 ↑ (3.44)	4.82 ↓ (5.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
55%

Draw
26%

Sorrento
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

26.8%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

25.6%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Sorrento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Nuova Cosenza - Sorrento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pompei T. (G) 45. Ciotti P. 3. Moretti A. 26. Dametto P. 17. Caporale A. 34. Florenzi A. 77. Langella C. 37. Palmieri R. 10. Garritano L. (C) 9. Beretta G. 90. Emmausso M.	1. Del Sorbo L. (G) 46. Colombini L. 15. Solcia D. 81. Portanova D. 32. Paglino S. 28. Capezzi L. 8. Cuccurullo M. 23. Cangianiello S. 16. Ricci F. 7. D'Ursi E. 90. Sabbatani A.
Substitutes
23. Achour S. 20. Baez J. 27. Ba R. 5. Contiero L. 19. Contiliano N. 33. Ferrara A. 71. Mazzulla A. 6. Pintus N. 40. Vannucchi T. (G)	20. Bernabeo S. 3. Crecco L. 31. D'Aniello A. (G) 24. Diop S. 11. Esposito M. 6. Fusco F. 22. Harrasser S. (G) 21. Matera A. 85. Milan M. 4. Potenza A. 29. Santini C. 18. Tonni M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, D'Ursi E. (Penalty Awarded),
31', Ciotti P. 🟨,
45+4', 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 1, Emmausso M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 2, D'Ursi E. ⚽,
59', 2 - 2, Beretta G. ⚽,
63', Garritano L. ↓, Contiliano N. ↑,
65', Langella C. 🟨,
66', Paglino S. ↓, Fusco F. ↑,
78', Del Sorbo L. 🟨,
78', 3 - 2, Emmausso M. ⚽,
82', Cangianiello S. ↓, Crecco L. ↑,
82', Ricci F. ↓, Esposito M. ↑,
83', Florenzi A. ↓, Ferrara A. ↑,
84', Beretta G. 🟨,
89', Solcia D. ↓, Santini C. ↑,
90+1', Emmausso M. ↓, Baez J. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 13).

Cosenza is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sorrento has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Cosenza is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cosenza won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Cosenza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sorrento	8	6	0	2	12:7	5	18
19	Cosenza	8	0	2	6	5:18	-13	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie C Group C
22.02.26	Atalanta U23 - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Nuova Cosenza - Audace Cerignola	3:0 ✺
10.02.26	Nuova Cosenza - Siracusa	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Giugliano - Nuova Cosenza	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Nuova Cosenza - Casertana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWLW
- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie C Group C
22.02.26	Sorrento - Siracusa	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Monopoli - Sorrento	1:0 ✺
10.02.26	Sorrento - Giugliano	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Casarano - Sorrento	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Sorrento - Catania	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
18.10.25	Sorrento - Nuova Cosenza	2:2
Italian Lega Pro C2/B
19.01.14	Sorrento - Nuova Cosenza	1:0
15.09.13	Nuova Cosenza - Sorrento	1:1

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