Match Info

Coppa Italia Serie C - Final

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Domenico Francioni (Latina) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	20:30	NOW TV, RaiPlay, RAI Sport, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Switzerland	20:30	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
International	18:30	Onefootball


	Latina		Potenza

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.41
	2.12	3.32	3.12	Watch
	2	3.1	3.3
	2.07	3.31	3.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.71)	3.25 ↑ (2.97)	3.34 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Latina
44.1%

Draw
28.3%

Potenza
27.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.5%

30.6%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

31.3%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Latina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Latina's performance.

Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Potenza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Latina than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Latina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Potenza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Latina - Potenza Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Potenza will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
67. Mastrantonio D. (G) 72. Vona A. 33. Carillo L. 13. Marenco F. 2. Ercolano E. 36. Lipani J. 27. D'Angelo S. 70. Tomaselli G. 10. Riccardi A. 20. Fasan N. 97. Parigi G.	17. Cucchietti T. (G) 26. Kirwan N. 14. Riggio C. 15. Camigliano A. 3. Rocchetti Y. 5. Lucas Martello 8. Castorani M. 31. Siatounis A. 21. Schimmenti E. 9. Murano J. 10. D'Auria G.
Substitutes
1. Basti M. (G) 26. Bigonzoni M. 6. Calabrese B. 24. De Cristofaro A. 66. De Marchi D. 19. Di Giovannantonio G. 18. Dutu E. 21. Hergheligiu D. 22. Iosa A. (G) 11. Pace F. 5. Pellitteri A. 3. Porro M. 80. Quieto D. 4. Scravaglieri M. 9. Sylla Y.	19. Balzano M. 47. Bura R. 7. Delle Monache M. 23. De Marco A. 27. Erradi B. 22. Franchi D. (G) 77. Ghisolfi M. 96. Guiotto G. (G) 2. Landi E. 28. Maisto F. 11. Mazzeo L. 30. Petrungaro L. 70. Selleri G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Riccardi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Ercolano E. 🟨,
56', Carillo L. ↓, Dutu E. ↑,
56', D'Angelo S. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
59', Schimmenti E. ↓, Petrungaro L. ↑,
59', Lucas Martello ↓, Ghisolfi M. ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Parigi G. ⚽,
60', 🟨,
65', Vona A. ↓, Porro M. ↑,
66', Riggio C. 🟨,
69', Porro M. 🟨,
74', Murano J. ↓, Selleri G. ↑,
77', Castorani M. 🟨,
89', Fasan N. ↓, Quieto D. ↑,
89', Riccardi A. ↓, Di Giovannantonio G. ↑,
90', 🟨,
90', D'Auria G. ↓, Erradi B. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 1-3. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Latina won 1.

Recent form of Latina has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Potenza is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Latina won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:20. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Latina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Potenza - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 35.95%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Latina Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
28.03.26	Latina - Catania	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Nuova Cosenza - Latina	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
18.03.26	Potenza - Latina	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
14.03.26	Latina - Siracusa	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Salernitana - Latina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWL
- Potenza FC
Italian Serie C Group C
28.03.26	Potenza - Salernitana	5:2 ✺
22.03.26	Trapani - Potenza	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
18.03.26	Potenza - Latina	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
14.03.26	Potenza - Cavese	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Foggia - Potenza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
18.03.26	Potenza - Latina	3:1
Italian Serie C Group C
21.02.26	Latina - Potenza	0:1
12.10.25	Potenza - Latina	0:0
19.04.25	Latina - Potenza	1:0
07.12.24	Potenza - Latina	5:1
13.01.24	Potenza - Latina	2:0
10.09.23	Latina - Potenza	2:1

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