Match Info

SWITZERLAND: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - ROUND 31

Date: 28 April 2023, Friday

Location: Stade de la Tuiliere (Lausanne)

Referee: Huwiler D. (Sui)


	Lausanne-Sport		Schaffhausen

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.6	5.75	Watch
	1.4	4.4	5.75
	1.42	4.93	6.85
	1.4	4.2	6.5
	1.43	4.8	6.55	Watch
	1.39	4.7	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.74)	4.61 ↑ (3.6)	6.23 ↑ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lausanne-Sport
65.3%

Draw
19.9%

Schaffhausen
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.1%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

24.1%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lausanne-Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lausanne-Sport's performance.

Schaffhausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Schaffhausen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lausanne-Sport that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schaffhausen than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Schaffhausen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Lausanne Sport - Schaffhausen Predictions

Users Predictions: Lausanne-Sport will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lausanne-Sport won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Lausanne-Sport is indisputable favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Lausanne-Sport won 10 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 33-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Lausanne-Sport won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lausanne-Sport
Swiss Challenge League
23.04.23	Vaduz - Lausanne-Sport	1:1 ✺
16.04.23	Lausanne-Sport - Lausanne Ouchy	2:1 ✺
07.04.23	Bellinzona - Lausanne-Sport	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	Lausanne-Sport - Yverdon	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Lausanne-Sport - Thun	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLWL
- FC Schaffhausen
Swiss Challenge League
21.04.23	Wil 1900 - Schaffhausen	3:1 ✺
14.04.23	Schaffhausen - Yverdon	3:4 ✺
10.04.23	Vaduz - Schaffhausen	1:4 ✺
31.03.23	Schaffhausen - Wil 1900	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.23	Karlsruher - Schaffhausen	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
10.03.23	Schaffhausen - Lausanne-Sport	1:2
04.11.22	Schaffhausen - Lausanne-Sport	0:0
22.07.22	Lausanne-Sport - Schaffhausen	5:1
10.07.20	Lausanne-Sport - Schaffhausen	1:0
24.01.20	Schaffhausen - Lausanne-Sport	0:0
10.11.19	Lausanne-Sport - Schaffhausen	5:0
20.07.19	Schaffhausen - Lausanne-Sport	2:2

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