Match Info

Challenge League - Round 33

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Lidl Arena (Wil)

Referee: Prskalo Z. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6


	Wil 1900		Schaffhausen

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	3.5
	1.9	3.75	3.45
	1.92	4.16	3.49
	1.91	3.83	3.5	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.6
	1.91	3.65	3.5	Watch
	1.9	3.75	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.64)	3.72 ↓ (3.95)	3.5 ↓ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wil 1900
48.8%

Draw
24.8%

Schaffhausen
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

23.4%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

21.6%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wil 1900 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wil 1900's form might have worsened.

Schaffhausen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Schaffhausen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wil 1900 than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schaffhausen than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Wil 1900 - Schaffhausen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Muslija G. (G) 21. Saho U. 5. Crnovrsanin S. 15. Schmid Y. 3. Guzzo R. 4. Jacovic D. 17. Staubli T. 20. Ndau K. (C) 10. Maier N. 33. Abazi L. 12. Akinola A.	47. Rutigliano S. (G) 15. Lika B. 2. Da Graca K. 28. Nadjack 3. Hoxha F. 24. Hegglin I. 22. De Donno G. 8. Berhane J. 10. Bunjaku O. 33. Lenjani E. (C) 99. Rossi K.
Substitutes
24. Borges F. 18. Bujard Y. (G) 28. Bytyqi E. 6. Geiger S. 25. Hajij M. 29. Hanke M. 11. Rapp S. 26. Schreiber L.	45. Appiah A. 34. De Nitti G. (G) 6. Gelmi R. 18. Holenstein N. 37. Maluvunu E. 4. Schlappi B. 77. Vogt W. 21. Wetz N. 16. Willimann M.
Coaches
Hammerli M.	Yakin H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Hoxha F. ⚽,
21', Ndau K. 🟨,
23', Schmid Y. 🟨,
32', Hoxha F. 🟥,
37', Crnovrsanin S. 🟨,
41', Abazi L. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
53', Jacovic D. 🟨,
58', Abazi L. ↓, Rapp S. ↑,
58', Crnovrsanin S. ↓, Bytyqi E. ↑,
58', Guzzo R. ↓, Schreiber L. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Akinola A. ⚽, Staubli T. (A),
66', 2 - 1, Staubli T. ⚽, Maier N. (A),
67', De Donno G. ↓, Maluvunu E. ↑,
67', Bunjaku O. ↓, Wetz N. ↑,
67', Lika B. ↓, Vogt W. ↑,
70', Rossi K. 🟨,
71', 3 - 1, Maier N. ⚽, Bytyqi E. (A),
75', Lenjani E. ↓, Schlappi B. ↑,
75', Schlappi B. 🟨,
77', Akinola A. ↓, Borges F. ↑,
77', Staubli T. ↓, Hajij M. ↑,
78', Berhane J. 🟨,
80', Hegglin I. ↓, Holenstein N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wil won 2.

Wil has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Schaffhausen is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Schaffhausen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Wil is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Wil: De Souza D. (Inactive) Laidani A. (Knock) Muci A. (Injury) Neziri B. (Yellow Cards) Parente J. (Injury)

There will not play in Schaffhausen: Lenjani E. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Schaffhausen: Schlappi B. (Injury) Seiler S. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wil won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 38:34. (average 1.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Wil won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wil 1900
Swiss Challenge League
27.04.25	Wil 1900 - Bellinzona	2:2 ✺
21.04.25	Thun - Wil 1900	7:0 ✺
13.04.25	Wil 1900 - Étoile Carouge	2:2 ✺
04.04.25	Stade Nyonnais - Wil 1900	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Wil 1900 - Vaduz	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLTWL
- FC Schaffhausen
Swiss Challenge League
25.04.25	Schaffhausen - Aarau	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	Étoile Carouge - Schaffhausen	0:2 ✺
11.04.25	Schaffhausen - Lausanne Ouchy	2:3 ✺
04.04.25	Thun - Schaffhausen	3:0 ✺
31.03.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Schaffhausen	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
28.03.25	Schaffhausen - Wil 1900	1:3
10.11.24	Wil 1900 - Schaffhausen	2:2
27.09.24	Schaffhausen - Wil 1900	0:2
27.04.24	Wil 1900 - Schaffhausen	0:1
02.02.24	Schaffhausen - Wil 1900	3:2
30.01.24	Wil 1900 - Schaffhausen	2:0
04.08.23	Schaffhausen - Wil 1900	1:3

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