Match Info

SWITZERLAND: Swiss Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Comunale Bellinzona (Bellinzona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Bellinzona		Lausanne-Sport

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.1	1.62
	4.5	3.8	1.62
	4.82	4.04	1.64
	4.76	4.12	1.63	Watch
	4.6	3.9	1.62
	4.82	4.16	1.64	Watch
	4.5	3.8	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.68 ↓ (4.8)	3.99 ↓ (4.27)	1.63 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bellinzona
19.8%

Draw
23.2%

Lausanne-Sport
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

21.7%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

21.3%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bellinzona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Lausanne-Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bellinzona than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Bellinzona - Lausanne Sport Predictions

Users Predictions: Lausanne-Sport will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Enzler S. (G) 27. Krasniqi J. 34. Sauter I. 8. Sutter N. 91. Mihajlovic D. (C) 4. Sabbatini J. 26. L'Ghoul N. 20. Sangare M. 25. Nkama J. 70. Souza Espana C. 33. Nivokazi R.	1. Castella T. (G) 34. Giger R. 14. Mouanga K. 6. Dussenne N. (C) 18. Poaty M. 80. Sanches A. 8. Roche J. 5. Koindredi K. 92. Okou T. 9. Sene M. K. 11. Diabate F.
Substitutes
10. Chacon T. 77. Da Silva N. 14. Gloor F. 88. Lusuena N. 44. Lymann F. 66. Matondo H. 80. Perrault T. 11. Rossi N. 21. Trochen E. (G)	7. Ajdini A. 70. Balde A. 10. Custodio O. 93. Fofana S. 94. Hottiger T. (G) 27. Lekoueiry B. 39. Oviedo F. 19. Senaya M. 71. Sow K.
Coaches
Benavente M.	Magnin L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Krasniqi J. 🟨,
15', Sabbatini J. 🟨,
15', Sangare M. 🟨,
43', Diabate F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sene M. K. ↓, Ajdini A. ↑,
51', Dussenne N. 🟨,
60', Okou T. ↓, Balde A. ↑,
65', Mihajlovic D. 🟨,
67', 1 - 0, Nivokazi R. ⚽,
72', Koindredi K. ↓, Oviedo F. ↑,
73', Giger R. ↓, Senaya M. ↑,
74', Souza Espana C. ↓, Chacon T. ↑,
80', Nkama J. ↓, Rossi N. ↑,
80', Sanches A. ↓, Lekoueiry B. ↑,
81', Chacon T. 🟨,
82', 1 - 1, Dussenne N. ⚽,
84', Rossi N. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
101', Diabate F. ↓, Custodio O. ↑,
113', 🟨,
118', 🟨,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),

Preview

Bellinzona is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lausanne-Sport is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Lausanne-Sport is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bellinzona won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Bellinzona won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Bellinzona
Swiss Challenge League
22.02.25	Bellinzona - Étoile Carouge	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Bellinzona - Lausanne Ouchy	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Thun - Bellinzona	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Aarau - Bellinzona	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Bellinzona - Schaffhausen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLLLW
- Lausanne-Sport
Swiss Super League
22.02.25	Lausanne-Sport - Grasshoppers	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Basel - Lausanne-Sport	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Lausanne-Sport - Yverdon	4:1 ✺
04.02.25	Grasshoppers - Lausanne-Sport	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	Lausanne-Sport - Young Boys	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
07.04.23	Bellinzona - Lausanne-Sport	1:0
19.02.23	Lausanne-Sport - Bellinzona	1:1
13.11.22	Lausanne-Sport - Bellinzona	1:1
16.07.22	Bellinzona - Lausanne-Sport	1:0

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