Match Info

CHILE: Segunda Division - Round 12

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday


	Lautaro de Buin		Concón National

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3
	2.1	3.5	3
	2.06	3.59	3.15
	2.01	3.59	3.15
	1.95	3.4	3.1
	2.04	3.5	3.28	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.15)	3.5 ↑ (3.44)	3.1 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lautaro de Buin
44.6%

Draw
26%

Concón National
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

26.9%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

28.1%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lautaro de Buin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Concón National has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lautaro de Buin than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concón National than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Lautaro de Buin - Concón National Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Astroza Zambrano C. A. 🟥,
90+1', 1 - 0, Silva J. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 11).

Lautaro de Buin is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Concón National is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Concón National could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lautaro de Buin will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lautaro de Buin
Chilean Segunda Division
11.05.24	Deportes Concepción - Lautaro de Buin	4:0 ✺
06.05.24	Lautaro de Buin - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:1 ✺
28.04.24	General Velásquez - Lautaro de Buin	6:2 ✺
21.04.24	Provincial Osorno - Lautaro de Buin	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Lautaro de Buin - Trasandino de Los Andes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLLL
- Concón National
Chilean Segunda Division
10.05.24	Concón National - General Velásquez	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Provincial Ovalle - Concón National	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Concón National - Trasandino de Los Andes	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Deportes Rengo - Concón National	1:2 ✺
15.04.24	Concón National - Deportes Linares	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.1 WTWWT

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