Match Info

Date: 30 March 2022, Wednesday


	Casale		Novara

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2.05
	3.5	2.95	2.05
	3.49	2.99	2.03
	3.6	2.8	2.05
	3.58	3.04	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.48)	2.96 ↑ (2.96)	2.05 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casale
25.8%

Draw
30.4%

Novara
43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

31.1%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Casale have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Novara have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casale than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+1%)

Casale - Novara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Casale is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Novara is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Novara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Novara will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Casale won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Casale won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casale
Italian Serie D - Group A
27.03.22	Fossano - Casale	1:4 ✺
20.03.22	Casale - Sestri Levante	0:0 ✺
13.03.22	Casale - Lavagnese	1:0 ✺
09.03.22	Casale - Asti	0:0 ✺
06.03.22	PDHAE - Casale	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTWTT
- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
27.03.22	Novara - Unione Sanremo	1:5 ✺
13.03.22	Vado - Novara	0:1 ✺
06.03.22	Novara - Sestri Levante	2:0 ✺
02.03.22	Derthona - Novara	1:1 ✺
27.02.22	Ticino - Novara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
14.11.21	Novara - Casale	4:1
Club Friendly
28.07.16	Casale - Novara	0:5

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