Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 6

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Francis Le Basser (Laval)

Referee: Roffet B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Laval		Amiens

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.8	3.35	4.45
	1.87	3.4	4.82
	30.00	15.27	1.00	Watch
	1.84	3.4	4.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.47 ↑ (1.86)	5.78 ↑ (3.8)	3.83 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laval
23.6%

Draw
30.5%

Amiens
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

25%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

24.4%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-27.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Laval's form might have worsened.

Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Amiens's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+28.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Laval, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-22.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amiens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Laval - Amiens Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Laval will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Amiens will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Laval: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Amiens (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Laval will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Laval (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Amiens (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samassa M. (G) 12. Commaret M. 23. Tavares Y. 2. Pellenard T. 6. Sanna S. (C) 14. Mandouki C. 8. Thomas T. 10. Sellouki M. 28. Maggiotti J. 20. Clavreul E. 18. Tchokounte M.	40. Bernardoni P. (G) 39. Chabane A. 34. Bakayoko S. 28. Lo A. 25. Appiah A. 27. Lutin R. 45. Fofana I. 6. Monconduit T. 11. Averlant T. 8. Lobry V. (C) 26. Ikia Dimi Y.
Substitutes
21. Aradj Y. 26. Benard W. 3. Bianda W. 27. Faurand-Tournaire A. 1. Hautbois M. (G) 34. Maddy E. 22. Mupemba N.	17. Chibozo A. 7. Hamache I. 20. Kaiboue K. 44. Louis C. 9. Mlakar J. 15. Nduquidi J. 16. Sauvage A. (G)
Coaches
Frapolli O.	Daf O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Pellenard T. (Own goal),
42', Monconduit T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Commaret M. ↓, Aradj Y. ↑,
54', Aradj Y. 🟨,
55', 🟨,
56', Monconduit T. ↓, Kaiboue K. ↑,
57', Ikia Dimi Y. ↓, Mlakar J. ↑,
59', 0 - 2, Pellenard T. (Own goal),
63', Sellouki M. ↓, Maddy E. ↑,
70', Mlakar J. ↓, Hamache I. ↑,
75', Clavreul E. ↓, Mupemba N. ↑,
82', Lutin R. ↓, Nduquidi J. ↑,
82', Averlant T. ↓, Louis C. ↑,
82', Thomas T. ↓, Benard W. ↑,
82', Tchokounte M. ↓, Faurand-Tournaire A. ↑,
84', 0 - 3, Lobry V. ⚽, Louis C. (A),
85', Lobry V. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Laval won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Laval is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Laval: Adilehou M. (Inactive) Camara M. (Inactive) Montet E. (Leg Injury) Ouaneh P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Amiens: Kandil N. (Knee Injury) Manitu M. (Inactive) Rafii Y. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Laval won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Laval won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Laval
French Ligue 2
12.09.25	Boulogne - Laval	1:2 ✺
29.08.25	Laval - Clermont	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Rodez - Laval	1:1 ✺
15.08.25	Grenoble - Laval	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Laval - Saint-Étienne	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTTTT
- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
12.09.25	Amiens - Bastia	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Montpellier - Amiens	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Amiens - Annecy	0:1 ✺
15.08.25	Red Star - Amiens	1:3 ✺
11.08.25	Amiens - Reims	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
25.04.25	Laval - Amiens	1:0
13.12.24	Amiens - Laval	1:3
02.03.24	Laval - Amiens	1:1
28.10.23	Amiens - Laval	0:0
02.06.23	Amiens - Laval	1:2
30.12.22	Laval - Amiens	0:3
12.05.17	Amiens - Laval	3:0

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