Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Stade de la Licorne (Amiens)

Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free


	Amiens		Bastia

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.25	2	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.25
	3.65	3.25	1.98
	3.86	3.37	2.08
	3.55	3.18	2.11	Watch
	3.41	3.33	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.81)	3.27 ↑ (3.23)	2.09 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amiens
26.6%

Draw
28.6%

Bastia
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

28.5%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amiens's form might have worsened.

Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bastia's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	15.4%	15.4%

Amiens - Bastia Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Amiens will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Bastia will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amiens: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Amiens (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Amiens will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Amiens (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Bernardoni P. (G) 39. Chabane A. 34. Bakayoko S. 28. Lo A. 25. Appiah A. 45. Fofana I. 20. Kaiboue K. 27. Lutin R. 8. Lobry V. (C) 11. Averlant T. 17. Chibozo A.	30. Placide J. (G) 15. Bohnert F. 4. Roncaglia A. 28. Akueson G. 5. Ariss Z. 13. Ducrocq T. 29. Etoga L. 14. Sebas J. 7. Vincent C. (C) 10. Boutrah A. 9. Tomi F.
Substitutes
7. Hamache I. 26. Ikia Dimi Y. 6. Monconduit T. 15. Nduquidi J. 16. Sauvage A. (G) 59. Talbot N. 94. Touho M.	25. Aiki A. 11. Ble M. 6. Guidi D. 8. Karamoko I. 24. Meynadier T. 1. Olmeta L. (G) 33. Petrignani M.
Coaches
Daf O.	Tavenot B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Vincent C. 🟨,
72', Chibozo A. ↓, Ikia Dimi Y. ↑,
73', Kaiboue K. ↓, Monconduit T. ↑,
73', Vincent C. ↓, Karamoko I. ↑,
74', Akueson G. ↓, Guidi D. ↑,
74', Tomi F. ↓, Aiki A. ↑,
79', Sebas J. ↓, Ble M. ↑,
79', Lutin R. ↓, Hamache I. ↑,
83', Bohnert F. ↓, Meynadier T. ↑,
90+1', Averlant T. ↓, Touho M. ↑,
90+1', Appiah A. ↓, Nduquidi J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 3.

Amiens has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bastia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Amiens: Kandil N. (Knee Injury) Monconduit T. (Leg Injury) Rafii Y. (Injury)

There will not play in Bastia: Basset D. (Injury) Guevara J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Amiens won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
29.08.25	Montpellier - Amiens	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Amiens - Annecy	0:1 ✺
15.08.25	Red Star - Amiens	1:3 ✺
11.08.25	Amiens - Reims	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Amiens - Red Star	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TLWTL
- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
30.08.25	Bastia - Guingamp	1:3 ✺
22.08.25	Le Mans - Bastia	1:0 ✺
15.08.25	Bastia - Pau	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Bastia - Caen	2:1 ✺
02.05.25	Guingamp - Bastia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
17.01.25	Amiens - Bastia	1:0
23.08.24	Bastia - Amiens	1:0
03.05.24	Bastia - Amiens	1:2
19.08.23	Amiens - Bastia	2:1
29.04.23	Bastia - Amiens	1:1
20.08.22	Amiens - Bastia	3:1
09.04.22	Amiens - Bastia	0:0

Amiens - Bastia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide