Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Location: Stade de la Mosson (Montpellier)

Referee: Souifi A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free


	Montpellier		Amiens

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.51	4.2	6
	1.5	4.15	5.7
	1.6	4.07	5.78
	2.59	3.38	2.58	Watch
	1.5	4	6
	1.54	4.25	5.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.42)	4.04 ↓ (4.36)	5.36 ↓ (7.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montpellier
57.9%

Draw
24%

Amiens
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

21.4%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montpellier's form might have worsened.

Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Amiens's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Montpellier - Amiens Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Amiens will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montpellier: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Montpellier (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ngapandouetnbu S. (G) 29. Tchato E. 15. Laporte J. 6. Jullien C. 21. Mincarelli L. 23. Mouanga Y. 27. Omeragic B. (C) 7. Mbuku N. 24. Ndiaye J. 70. Coulibaly T. 19. Mendy A.	40. Bernardoni P. (G) 39. Chabane A. 34. Bakayoko S. 28. Lo A. 25. Appiah A. 45. Fofana I. 20. Kaiboue K. 11. Averlant T. 8. Lobry V. (C) 27. Lutin R. 9. Mlakar J.
Substitutes
44. Chennahi T. 50. Dzodic V. (G) 3. El Hannach N. 35. Mahboub F. 14. Orakpo V. 18. Pays N. 11. Savanier T.	17. Chibozo A. 26. Ikia Dimi Y. 42. Injai C. 44. Louis C. 18. Manitu M. 16. Sauvage A. (G) 59. Talbot N.
Coaches
Camara Z.	Daf O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Lutin R. ⚽, Averlant T. (A),
42', Kaiboue K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Ndiaye J. ↓, Orakpo V. ↑,
60', Mincarelli L. ↓, El Hannach N. ↑,
65', Mouanga Y. 🟨,
70', Averlant T. 🟨,
70', Coulibaly T. ↓, Savanier T. ↑,
76', Lutin R. ↓, Ikia Dimi Y. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Savanier T. ⚽,
80', El Hannach N. 🟨,
84', Tchato E. ↓, Chennahi T. ↑,
86', Kaiboue K. ↓, Injai C. ↑,
90+4', Ikia Dimi Y. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 4.

Amiens is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Montpellier is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Montpellier: Fayad K. (Injury) Michel M. (Broken rib) Ngosso G. (Knee Injury) Orakpo V. (Inactive) Pays N. (Inactive) Sainte-Luce T. (Red Card)

There will not play in Amiens: Kandil N. (Knee Injury) Louis C. (Inactive) Rafii Y. (Injury)

There are questionable in Amiens: Monconduit T. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Montpellier won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montpellier HSC
French Ligue 2
23.08.25	Troyes - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
18.08.25	Le Mans - Montpellier	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Montpellier - Red Star	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.25	Montpellier - Rodez	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.05.25	Nantes - Montpellier	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWTLL
- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
22.08.25	Amiens - Annecy	0:1 ✺
15.08.25	Red Star - Amiens	1:3 ✺
11.08.25	Amiens - Reims	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Amiens - Red Star	0:2 ✺
12.07.25	Lille - Amiens	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Coupe De France
06.01.24	Amiens - Montpellier	1:2
French Ligue 1
11.01.20	Amiens - Montpellier	1:2
30.11.19	Montpellier - Amiens	4:2
05.05.19	Montpellier - Amiens	1:1
18.08.18	Amiens - Montpellier	1:2
17.01.18	Amiens - Montpellier	1:1
04.11.17	Montpellier - Amiens	1:1

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