Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 30

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Francis Le Basser (Laval)

Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free


	Laval		Reims

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.25	1.75	Watch
	4.15	3.45	1.82	Watch
	4.72	3.45	1.87
	4.38	3.53	1.81	Watch
	4.2	3.3	1.83
	4.37	3.47	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↑ (3.86)	3.41 ↑ (3.28)	1.83 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laval
21.6%

Draw
27.3%

Reims
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

28.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

27%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Reims has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reims than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reims, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	17.6%	70.6%

Laval - Reims Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Laval will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Reims will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reims: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Reims (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samassa M. (G) 4. Ouaneh P. 24. Bane S. 3. Bianda W. 7. Vargas T. 14. Mandouki C. 6. Sanna S. 15. Mbayo D. 10. Sellouki M. (C) 9. Camara M. 12. Commaret M.	29. Jaouen E. (G) 4. Busi M. 92. Kone A. 28. Elie 22. Kotto S. 18. Akieme S. 87. Tia A. 24. Gbane M. (C) 6. Leoni T. 17. Nakamura K. 9. Daramy M.
Substitutes
11. Dago T. 1. Hautbois M. (G) 31. Houdayer M. 28. Maggiotti J. 23. Tavares Y. 18. Tchokounte M. 8. Thomas T.	27. Bojang A. 7. Diarra T. 8. Fofana Y. 20. Olliero A. (G) 30. Patrick J. 3. Sekine H. 86. Zabi
Coaches
Frapolli O.	Geraerts K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Gbane M. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Camara M. (Penalty Awarded),
44', Mbayo D. 🟨,
44', Kone A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Nakamura K. ↓, Diarra T. ↑,
46', Kone A. ↓, Bojang A. ↑,
46', Tia A. ↓, Zabi ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Daramy M. (Penalty Awarded),
63', 2 - 1, Bianda W. ⚽, Sellouki M. (A),
68', 2 - 2, Gbane M. ⚽, Bojang A. (A),
71', Vargas T. ↓, Thomas T. ↑,
81', Mbayo D. ↓, Dago T. ↑,
85', Leoni T. ↓, Fofana Y. ↑,
85', Camara M. ↓, Tchokounte M. ↑,
85', Sellouki M. ↓, Houdayer M. ↑,
86', Bianda W. ↓, Tavares Y. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Reims is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Laval: Aradj Y. (Inactive) Clavreul E. (Inactive) Dago T. (Leg Injury) Samb L. (Foot Injury) Tavares Y. (Inactive)

There will not play in Reims: Ibrahim H. (Inactive) Okumu J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Laval won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Laval won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2.

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Reims: 11.89% Laval: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	15:9	6	13
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8:14	-6	5

Last Results with these Odds

Reims - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 47.72%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Laval
French Ligue 2
03.04.26	Red Star - Laval	0:0 ✺
20.03.26	Laval - Grenoble	3:2 ✺
13.03.26	Montpellier - Laval	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Laval - Guingamp	2:2 ✺
27.02.26	Laval - Nancy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWLTT
- Stade de Reims
French Ligue 2
04.04.26	Reims - Boulogne	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Guingamp - Reims	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Reims - Rodez	1:2 ✺
09.03.26	Dunkerque - Reims	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
03.03.26	Strasbourg - Reims	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
08.12.25	Reims - Laval	4:0
14.04.17	Laval - Reims	5:2
18.11.16	Reims - Laval	0:2
13.03.12	Reims - Laval	N/A

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