Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 27

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Stade de la Mosson (Montpellier)

Referee: Souifi A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free


	Montpellier		Laval

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.2	4.5	Watch
	1.8	3.35	4.45
	1.86	3.54	4.52
	1.81	3.46	4.53	Watch
	1.8	3.25	4.4
	1.82	3.42	4.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.87)	3.37 ↑ (3.34)	4.53 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Montpellier
51.8%

Draw
27.6%

Laval
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

28%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

27.5%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.3%	9.1%	13.6%

Montpellier - Laval Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Laval will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montpellier: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Montpellier will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ngapandouetnbu S. (G) 29. Tchato E. 15. Laporte J. (C) 6. Jullien C. 17. Sainte-Luce T. 44. Chennahi T. 23. Mouanga Y. 18. Pays N. 10. Fayad K. 8. Issoufou Y. 19. Mendy A.	30. Samassa M. (G) 22. Kouassi C. 4. Ouaneh P. 3. Bianda W. 6. Sanna S. (C) 8. Thomas T. 14. Mandouki C. 15. Mbayo D. 10. Sellouki M. 9. Camara M. 18. Tchokounte M.
Substitutes
50. Dzodic V. (G) 3. El Hannach N. 22. Gueguin A. 20. Homssa N. 21. Mincarelli L. 14. Molebe E. 40. Vidal-Cartoux N.	24. Bane S. 26. Benard W. 1. Hautbois M. (G) 31. Houdayer M. 34. Maddy E. 25. Montet E. 23. Tavares Y.
Coaches
Camara Z.	Frapolli O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Bianda W. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
70', Thomas T. 🟨,
70', Fayad K. ↓, Gueguin A. ↑,
73', Mbayo D. ↓, Houdayer M. ↑,
74', Mouanga Y. ↓, Vidal-Cartoux N. ↑,
83', Sellouki M. ↓, Montet E. ↑,
83', Thomas T. ↓, Benard W. ↑,
85', Issoufou Y. ↓, Molebe E. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Sainte-Luce T. ⚽, Molebe E. (A),
90', 2 - 0, Pays N. ⚽,
90+1', Mandouki C. ↓, Maddy E. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Montpellier is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Montpellier: Junior Pereira da Silva E. (Red Card) Mahboub F. (Inactive) Mbuku N. (Yellow Cards) Ngosso G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Laval: Maddy E. (Inactive) Maggiotti J. (Inactive) Samb L. (Inactive) Vargas T. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Montpellier: 4.46% Laval: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6:5	1	12
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8:14	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montpellier HSC
French Ligue 2
06.03.26	Nancy - Montpellier	0:3 ✺
27.02.26	Montpellier - Reims	0:0 ✺
20.02.26	Rodez - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Montpellier - Le Mans	4:2 ✺
07.02.26	Saint-Étienne - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTLWL
- Stade Laval
French Ligue 2
06.03.26	Laval - Guingamp	2:2 ✺
27.02.26	Laval - Nancy	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Saint-Étienne - Laval	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Laval - Annecy	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Le Mans - Laval	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
27.09.25	Laval - Montpellier	0:1
French Coupe de la Ligue
25.10.16	Laval - Montpellier	0:2

Upcoming Matches