Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 26

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday

Location: Stade Marcel Tribut (Dunkerque)

Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Dunkerque		Reims

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.15
	2.88	3.15	2.38	Watch
	3.11	3.31	2.41
	3.05	3.17	2.38	Watch
	2.9	3	2.3
	2.97	3.28	2.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.25)	3.18 ↓ (3.24)	2.34 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
31%

Draw
29.2%

Reims
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

28.8%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

27.9%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Reims has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reims than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	68.2%	13.6%

Dunkerque - Reims Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Reims will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 1 - 10%). Reims (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Reims (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Reims (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
60. Niflore M. (G) 27. Linguet A. 26. Sangante O. (C) 4. Lagae B. 22. Mayela V. 6. Diong P. 2. Georgen A. 8. Sekongo A. 20. Bardeli E. 69. Bokele Mputu M. 9. Robinet T.	29. Jaouen E. (G) 4. Busi M. 28. Elie 22. Kotto S. 18. Akieme S. (C) 90. Benhattab Y. 86. Zabi 6. Leoni T. 17. Nakamura K. 87. Tia A. 9. Daramy M.
Substitutes
18. Diop M. 15. Doucet L. 19. Kante A. 1. Lavin M. (G) 42. Makhloufi M. 57. Seha Z. 7. Sylvestre E.	7. Diarra T. 24. Gbane M. 85. Ibrahim H. 20. Olliero A. (G) 5. Pallois N. 30. Patrick J. 3. Sekine H.
Coaches
Sanchez A.	Geraerts K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Robinet T. ⚽, Georgen A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Daramy M. ↓, Ibrahim H. ↑,
47', Leoni T. 🟨,
51', Elie 🟨,
58', Benhattab Y. ↓, Patrick J. ↑,
58', Tia A. ↓, Sekine H. ↑,
58', Zabi ↓, Gbane M. ↑,
76', Bokele Mputu M. ↓, Seha Z. ↑,
76', Sekongo A. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
85', Busi M. ↓, Diarra T. ↑,
87', Linguet A. 🟨,
89', Mayela V. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
90+3', Niflore M. 🟨,
90+4', Bardeli E. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Nakamura K. ⚽, Akieme S. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Reims may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Reims will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F. (Inactive) Eguaras I. (Inactive) Essimi M. (Inactive) Massock T. (Inactive) Sanchez A. (Yellow Cards) Sasso V. (Inactive) Sylvestre E. (Inactive)

There will not play in Reims: Ibrahim H. (Inactive) Okumu J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Dunkerque: Zossou A. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Reims: 11.89% Dunkerque: 0.75%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	15:9	6	13
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10:12	-2	8

Last Results with these Odds

Dunkerque - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 28.73%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
27.02.26	Clermont - Dunkerque	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Dunkerque - Bastia	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Amiens - Dunkerque	1:4 ✺
06.02.26	Dunkerque - Guingamp	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Dunkerque - Annecy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LTWTL
- Stade de Reims
Coupe De France
03.03.26	Strasbourg - Reims	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
27.02.26	Montpellier - Reims	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Reims - Amiens	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Grenoble - Reims	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Reims - Bastia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
01.11.25	Reims - Dunkerque	1:2
Club Friendly
18.07.20	Reims - Dunkerque	2:2

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