Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	Audace Cerignola		Gravina

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.1	5.75
	1.45	4.2	5.5
	1.43	4.29	5.56
	1.54	3.82	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.46)	4.1 ↑ (3.64)	5.58 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audace Cerignola
61.7%

Draw
22%

Gravina
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

23.8%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

14.3%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audace Cerignola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Gravina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (-26.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Audace Cerignola that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gravina than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gravina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Audace Cerignola - Gravina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Audace Cerignola won 0.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match Audace Cerignola is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Audace Cerignola won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Audace Cerignola won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie D - Group H
16.02.22	Altamura - Audace Cerignola	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Audace Cerignola - Casarano	1:0 ✺
06.02.22	Nola - Audace Cerignola	0:2 ✺
02.02.22	Audace Cerignola - Molfetta	3:3 ✺
30.01.22	Città di Fasano - Audace Cerignola	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TWWTT
- FBC Gravina
Italian Serie D - Group H
16.02.22	Gravina - Nocerina	0:2 ✺
13.02.22	Nardo - Gravina	2:3 ✺
06.02.22	Bisceglie - Gravina	2:3 ✺
02.02.22	Gravina - Altamura	1:0 ✺
30.01.22	Casarano - Gravina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
17.10.21	Gravina - Audace Cerignola	0:1
24.01.21	Gravina - Audace Cerignola	0:0
24.03.19	Gravina - Audace Cerignola	1:0
18.11.18	Audace Cerignola - Gravina	5:1
29.04.18	Audace Cerignola - Gravina	3:3
10.12.17	Gravina - Audace Cerignola	0:1

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