Match Info

Date: 14 November 2021, Sunday


	Lavello		Casertana

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.55
	2.45	3.05	2.6
	2.41	3.05	2.6
	2.42	2.97	2.5
	2.55	3.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.37)	3.05 ↓ (3.2)	2.57 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lavello
36.3%

Draw
29.1%

Casertana
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

28.5%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

20.4%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lavello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lavello than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lavello that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casertana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lavello - Casertana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Recent matches Lavello is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Casertana in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Lavello
Italian Serie D - Group H
07.11.21	Audace Cerignola - Lavello	2:1 ✺
31.10.21	Lavello - Gravina	3:3 ✺
24.10.21	Nardo - Lavello	2:1 ✺
20.10.21	Lavello - Casarano	4:1 ✺
17.10.21	Bisceglie - Lavello	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTLWW
- FC Casertana
Italian Serie D - Group H
07.11.21	Casertana - Virtus Matino	2:0 ✺
03.11.21	Nocerina - Casertana	1:3 ✺
24.10.21	Casertana - Audace Cerignola	2:2 ✺
20.10.21	Casertana - Gravina	5:1 ✺
17.10.21	Nardo - Casertana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWTWW

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