Match Info

Date: 21 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Lavello		Virtus Matino

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.8	6
	1.55	3.6	5.5
	1.42	3.85	6
	1.42	3.83	6.17
	1.48	3.7	6.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.65)	3.76 ↑ (3.27)	6.11 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lavello
61.3%

Draw
23.9%

Virtus Matino
14.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.5%

26.5%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

17.6%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lavello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lavello's performance.

Virtus Matino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Virtus Matino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lavello than the current prediction. (-26.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lavello that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Matino than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Matino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lavello - Virtus Matino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Lavello is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Virtus Matino is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Lavello is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Lavello
Italian Serie D - Group H
14.11.21	Lavello - Casertana	2:2 ✺
07.11.21	Audace Cerignola - Lavello	2:1 ✺
31.10.21	Lavello - Gravina	3:3 ✺
24.10.21	Nardo - Lavello	2:1 ✺
20.10.21	Lavello - Casarano	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLTLW
- Virtus Matino
Italian Serie D - Group H
14.11.21	Virtus Matino - Nardo	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Casertana - Virtus Matino	2:0 ✺
31.10.21	Virtus Matino - Bisceglie	0:1 ✺
24.10.21	Gravina - Virtus Matino	0:2 ✺
20.10.21	Virtus Matino - Altamura	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWL

Lavello - Virtus Matino

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Lavello - Virtus Matino Predictions

Preview

Form

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