Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 1

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube (Leca da Palmeira)


	Leça		Vianense

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.45	4.05
	1.83	3.37	3.73
	1.82	3.52	3.87	Watch
	1.73	3.3	4
	1.69	3.68	4.22
	1.94	3.4	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.94)	3.45 ↑ (3.4)	3.85 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leça
50.4%

Draw
26.1%

Vianense
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

26.2%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

28.1%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Vianense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leça than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vianense than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Leça - Vianense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
12', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
48', 1 - 2, ⚽,
50', 2 - 2, ⚽,
70', 🟥,
81', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Leça is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vianense is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Leça is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leça FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.04.26	Leça - Vila Real	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Rebordosa - Leça	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Leça - Aparecida	5:1 ✺
22.03.26	Resende - Leça	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Leça - Salgueiros 08	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWTW
- SC Vianense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
18.04.26	Vianense - Limianos	4:1 ✺
12.04.26	Desportivo Monção - Vianense	0:5 ✺
04.04.26	Vianense - Mirandela	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Ribeira Brava - Vianense	1:5 ✺
15.03.26	Vianense - Celoricense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWW

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