Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 23

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Resende		Leça

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.05
	2.71	3.9	2.08
	2.87	3.72	2.1	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.05
	3.02	3.43	2.18
	3.55	3.3	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.55)	3.53 ↑ (3.3)	2.05 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Resende
30.2%

Draw
25.7%

Leça
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

26.9%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

26.3%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Resende has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Resende's performance.

Leça has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Resende than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Resende that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leça than the current prediction. (+5%)

Resende - Leça Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Resende has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leça is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Leça is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Resende won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Resende
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.03.26	Vila Real - Resende	0:3 ✺
08.03.26	Resende - Rebordosa	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Aparecida - Resende	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Vila Meã - Resende	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Resende - Salgueiros 08	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLLTW
- Leça FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.03.26	Leça - Salgueiros 08	3:1 ✺
08.03.26	Beira-Mar - Leça	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Leça - Anadia	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Gouveia - Leça	0:3 ✺
15.02.26	Leça - União Lamas	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.11.25	Leça - Resende	3:1
15.01.23	Leça - Resende	0:1

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