Match Info

Date: 17 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Stade Océane (Le Havre)

Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Le Havre		Annecy

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	5	Watch
	1.68	3.5	5.25
	1.75	3.35	4.9
	1.68	3.45	4.9
	1.7	3.6	5.86
	1.63	3.4	5.8	Watch
	1.7	3.56	5.2	Watch
	1.68	3.45	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.99)	3.49 ↑ (3.22)	5.23 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Havre
55.4%

Draw
26.7%

Annecy
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

28.6%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

27.4%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Le Havre's performance.

Annecy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Annecy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Le Havre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annecy than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Annecy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.1%	31.8%	9.1%

Le Havre - Annecy Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Annecy will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 12).

Le Havre has the most likely position - 5 (8.85%), has project points - 59, has currently - 15, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a small chance of promoted (15%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

Annecy has the most likely position - 18 (10.37%), has project points - 42, has currently - 9, has a chance of relegated (29%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 30, importance 34, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Le Havre in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Annecy is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Le Havre is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Le Havre to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 2
10.09.22	Niort - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
02.09.22	Le Havre - Caen	2:1 ✺
30.08.22	Laval - Le Havre	1:3 ✺
27.08.22	Le Havre - Amiens	1:1 ✺
20.08.22	Saint-Étienne - Le Havre	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 WWWTW
- Annecy FC
French Ligue 2
10.09.22	Annecy - Quevilly	1:0 ✺
02.09.22	Metz - Annecy	0:0 ✺
30.08.22	Dijon - Annecy	0:2 ✺
27.08.22	Annecy - Grenoble	0:0 ✺
20.08.22	Rodez - Annecy	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 WTWTT

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