Match Info

FRANCE: COUPE DE FRANCE - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade Océane (Le Havre)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports Max


	Le Havre		Caen

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.73	3.3	4.5
	1.8	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.82	3.56	4.82
	1.83	3.56	4.82
	1.67	3.5	4.33
	1.82	3.58	4.53
	1.76	3.5	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.69)	3.48 ↓ (3.67)	4.61 ↑ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Havre
52.8%

Draw
26.9%

Caen
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

25.1%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

26.5%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Le Havre - Caen Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gorgelin M. (G) 7. El Hajjam O. 2. Sangante A. 4. Lloris G. 3. Operi C. 6. Kuzyaev D. 5. Targhalline O. 8. Kechta Y. 9. Casimir J. 10. Alioui N. 11. Joujou A.	1. Clementia Y. (G) 2. Henry V. 5. Traore B. 4. Thomas R. 3. Coeff A. 7. Kyeremeh G. 6. Daubin Q. 8. Lebreton N. 11. Autret M. 10. Brahimi B. 9. Mendy A.
Substitutes
12. Bodmer M. 19. Confais A. 16. Desmas A. (G) 15. Diawara K. 18. Mbemba N. 14. Nego L. 13. Ngoura S. 20. Sabbi E. 17. Salmier Y.	15. Ben Yousseff S. 14. Bolumbu D. 20. Diedounne D. 17. Gomis T. 12. Le Bihan M. 16. Mandanda P. (G) 18. Mbock H. 13. Meddah D. 19. Ntim E.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 3.

Le Havre is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caen is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Le Havre is a favorite.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 34-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Le Havre won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 1
20.12.23	Reims - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Le Havre - Nice	3:1 ✺
10.12.23	Strasbourg - Le Havre	2:1 ✺
03.12.23	Le Havre - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2 ✺
26.11.23	Nantes - Le Havre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWLLT
- SM Caen
French Ligue 2
19.12.23	Amiens - Caen	0:0 ✺
16.12.23	Caen - Dunkerque	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
09.12.23	RC Calais - Caen	1:4 ✺
French Ligue 2
06.12.23	Annecy - Caen	1:2 ✺
02.12.23	Caen - Bastia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.07.23	Le Havre - Caen	3:1
French Ligue 2
29.04.23	Caen - Le Havre	1:2
02.09.22	Le Havre - Caen	2:1
19.03.22	Le Havre - Caen	2:4
16.10.21	Caen - Le Havre	2:2
15.03.21	Caen - Le Havre	0:2
21.11.20	Le Havre - Caen	1:2

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