The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Niort 25%
Draw 29.6%
Le Havre 45.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.9%
32%
37.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.2%
32.3%
36.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Niort's form might have worsened.
Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Le Havre's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Niort, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Le Havre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15%
30%
55%
Niort - Le Havre Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Niort will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Le Havre will win (votes: 11 - 55%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 33.2% – 76.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 4).
Niort has the most likely position - 20 (11.35%), has project points - 41, has currently - 7, has a chance of relegated (33%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Le Havre has the most likely position - 6 (8.06%), has project points - 57, has currently - 12, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).
This event has small quality30, importance32, match rating31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Niort won 1.
Niort is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Le Havre is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 21 head-to-head matches Niort won 4 matches, drawn 11 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Niort won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-7.
France
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