Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 3

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Océane (Le Havre)

Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4
Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 7
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
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Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Disney+, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Slovakia	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2 MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Le Havre		Brest

	1	X	2
	2.90	3.20	2.50	Watch
	2.80	3.30	2.50
	2.65	3.25	2.55	Watch
	2.77	3.35	2.76
	2.64	3.4	2.64	Watch
	3.00	3.15	2.55
	2.94	3.27	2.61	Watch
	2.85	3.20	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.55)	3.27 ↓ (3.29)	2.58 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Havre
33.8%

Draw
29.2%

Brest
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28.9%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	21.4%	50%

Le Havre - Brest Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Brest will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Brest (1.45) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Brest (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Brest (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) 15. Seko A. 6. Mwanga J. 5. Touba A. 12. Jelert E. 26. Ebonog S. 7. Richardson A. 32. Pembele T. 14. Ndiaye R. (C) 25. Samatta A. 9. Maja J.	1. Selvik E. (G) 70. Lala K. 71. Le Guen R. 4. Lloris G. 2. Locko B. 13. Chotard J. 8. Magnetti H. (C) 17. Balde M. 23. Doumbia K. 9. Mboup P. 19. Ajorque L.
Substitutes
44. Bouneb I. 38. Fofana R. 93. Gallon G. (G) 17. Mizuta K. 78. Mosengo D. N. 30. Nakamura S. 20. Ouziad D. 23. Sasso V. 27. Vinette E. K.	18. Bourgault J. 11. Edjouma N. 32. Laine M. L. C. 39. N'Guessan D. 7. Nonge J. 30. Patouillet M. (G) 29. Tousart L. 10. Versini G. 20. Zogbe L.
Coaches
Digard D.	Lachuer J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Mpasi-Nzau L. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Doumbia K. (Penalty Awarded),
22', Lala K. ↓, Zogbe L. ↑,
38', Digard D. 🟨,
39', Doumbia K. 🟨,
45+2', Mwanga J. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ndiaye R. ↓, Nakamura S. ↑,
51', 0 - 2, Doumbia K. ⚽, Balde M. (A),
62', Pembele T. ↓, Vinette E. K. ↑,
62', Maja J. ↓, Fofana R. ↑,
67', Balde M. ↓, Edjouma N. ↑,
75', Magnetti H. ↓, Nonge J. ↑,
75', Mboup P. ↓, Versini G. ↑,
75', Doumbia K. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Fofana R. (Penalty Awarded),
79', Jelert E. ↓, Ouziad D. ↑,
90+4', Mpasi-Nzau L. ↓, Gallon G. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 1.

Brest has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Le Havre: Argney P. (Injury) Mambimbi F. (Injury) Toure A. (Knee Injury) Zagadou S. (Injury)

There will not play in Brest: Cagnon R. (Shoulder Injury) Chardonnet B. (Calf Injury) Diambou M. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Brest: Bourgault J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 0.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Brest: 0.35% Le Havre: 0.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Brest	5	1	2	2	7:8	-1	5
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4:7	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 1
29.08.26	Lyon - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Le Havre - Monaco	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Le Mans - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
04.08.26	Ipswich Town - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.05.26	Lorient - Le Havre	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TLWLW
- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
29.08.26	Brest - Toulouse	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Le Mans - Brest	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Nottingham Forest - Brest	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Brest - Venezia	2:2 ✺
05.08.26	Stade Briochin - Brest	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
08.03.26	Brest - Le Havre	2:0
29.10.25	Le Havre - Brest	1:0
Club Friendly
30.07.25	Brest - Le Havre	1:0
French Ligue 1
26.01.25	Le Havre - Brest	0:1
06.10.24	Brest - Le Havre	2:0
03.03.24	Brest - Le Havre	1:0
20.08.23	Le Havre - Brest	1:2

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