What is the expert prediction for Lyon vs Le Havre?

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Lyon vs Le Havre Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, December 14, 2025)

Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon)

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Caliente TV, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 9
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360


	Lyon		Le Havre

	1	X	2
	1.65	4	5	Watch
	1.68	3.95	4.95
	1.67	3.99	5.5
	1.65	3.94	5.17	Watch
	1.62	3.7	5
	1.72	4.01	5.44	Watch
	1.63	4	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.55)	3.94 ↓ (4.16)	5.2 ↓ (5.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyon
57.5%

Draw
24.2%

Le Havre
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

22.8%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

22.4%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.3%	21.1%	2.6%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 29 - 76.3%). Le Havre will win (votes: 1 - 2.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 62.8% – 89.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyon (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Le Havre (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Lyon (2.08) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.5 - Le Havre (4.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Lyon (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Lyon (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Lyon (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyon (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Le Havre (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Greif D. (G) 22. Clinton Mata 19. Niakhate M. 44. Merah K. 33. Hateboer H. 23. Morton T. 8. Tolisso C. (C) 16. Abner Vinicius 10. Sulc P. 17. Moreira A. 20. Satriano M.	99. Diaw M. (G) 7. Nego L. 93. Sangante A. (C) 4. Lloris G. 18. Zouaoui Y. 8. Kechta Y. 15. Seko A. 14. Ndiaye R. 21. Namli Y. 70. Samatta A. 45. Soumare I.
Substitutes
39. de Carvalho M. 40. Descamps R. (G) 18. Ghezzal R. 32. Gomes A. 46. Goncalves T. 34. Hamdani A. 7. Karabec A. 21. Kluivert R. 3. Tagliafico N.	23. Delaine T. 13. Doucoure F. 11. Kyeremeh G. 10. Mambimbi F. 78. Mosengo D. N. 77. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) 33. Obougou N. 34. Quetant K. 6. Youte Kinkoue E.
Coaches
Fonseca P.	Digard D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Nego L. 🟨,
37', Morton T. 🟨,
38', Soumare I. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Sulc P. ⚽, Moreira A. (A),
63', Nego L. ↓, Doucoure F. ↑,
63', Kechta Y. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
68', Ndiaye R. 🟨,
71', Seko A. 🟨,
71', Namli Y. 🟨,
73', Merah K. ↓, de Carvalho M. ↑,
73', Satriano M. ↓, Karabec A. ↑,
74', Niakhate M. 🟨,
78', Namli Y. ↓, Quetant K. ↑,
78', Samatta A. ↓, Obougou N. ↑,
85', Hateboer H. ↓, Kluivert R. ↑,
89', Sulc P. ↓, Ghezzal R. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 15).

Lyon is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Le Havre has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Le Havre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lyon is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M. (Ankle Injury) Maitland-Niles A. (Red Card) Mangala O. (Muscle Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury) Tessmann T. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Le Havre: Ebonog S. (Injury) Khadra R. (Inactive) Toure A. (Injury) Zagadou S. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Lyon
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Lyon - Go Ahead Eagles	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
07.12.25	Lorient - Lyon	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Lyon - Nantes	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Lyon	0:6 ✺
French Ligue 1
23.11.25	Auxerre - Lyon	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWWT
- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 1
07.12.25	Le Havre - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Le Havre - Lille	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Le Havre	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Le Havre - Nantes	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Toulouse - Le Havre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
16.03.25	Lyon - Le Havre	4:2
20.10.24	Le Havre - Lyon	0:4
14.01.24	Le Havre - Lyon	3:1
17.09.23	Lyon - Le Havre	0:0

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