Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 18

Date: 23 January 2023, Monday

Location: Stade Louis Dugauguez (Sedan)


	Sedan		Le Mans

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.95	2.37
	2.75	3	2.43
	2.8	3.15	2.41
	2.97	3.08	2.62
	2.88	3	2.35
	2.82	3.22	2.38	Watch
	3	2.7	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.3)	3.01 ↓ (3.15)	2.44 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sedan
32.2%

Draw
30.4%

Le Mans
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

28.9%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

29%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sedan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sedan's form might have worsened.

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Le Mans's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sedan than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sedan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Le Mans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	36.4%	36.4%

Sedan - Le Mans Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sedan will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Le Mans will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Mans: 8% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 7).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sedan won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Sedan won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sedan
French Ligue 3
13.01.23	Sedan - Stade Briochin	1:1 ✺
16.12.22	Châteauroux - Sedan	2:3 ✺
09.12.22	Sedan - Cholet	2:1 ✺
05.12.22	Versailles - Sedan	2:0 ✺
25.11.22	Sedan - Bastia-Borgo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWWLW
- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 3
13.01.23	Le Mans - Villefranche	1:1 ✺
16.12.22	Le Mans - Orleans	2:0 ✺
09.12.22	Stade Briochin - Le Mans	1:1 ✺
02.12.22	Le Mans - Bourg-Péronnas	1:1 ✺
28.11.22	Châteauroux - Le Mans	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
22.08.22	Le Mans - Sedan	6:1
18.02.22	Sedan - Le Mans	2:0
13.09.21	Le Mans - Sedan	0:2
French Ligue 2
08.03.13	Sedan - Le Mans	2:1
05.10.12	Le Mans - Sedan	1:0

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