Match Info

Coupe de France - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Marie-Marvingt (Le Mans) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
France	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free


	Le Mans		Nancy

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.25	3.6	Watch
	2.02	3.35	3.9
	1.99	3.29	3.88	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.6
	2.02	3.26	3.69	Watch
	2.05	3.14	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.07)	3.23 ↓ (3.25)	3.74 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Mans
46.3%

Draw
28.8%

Nancy
24.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.8%

28.5%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

27.6%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Le Mans aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Le Mans - Nancy Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hatfout E. (G) 2. Eyoum T. 4. Lauray A. 3. Cossier I. 6. Quarshie E. (C) 7. Ribelin A. 8. Rossignol M. 10. Robin M. 11. Buades L. 5. Luvambo T. 9. Rabillard A.	1. Lembet G. (G) 2. Tacafred E. 5. Saint-Ruf N. (C) 4. Fernandez N. 3. Mendy E. 9. Experience M. 11. Bamba R. 10. Gelin J. 6. Barbier H. 7. Fdaouch Z. 8. Bouabdelli W.
Substitutes
15. Boisse N. 18. Calodat L. 19. Caro T. 16. Delbecque A. (G) 20. Gueye D. 14. Guillaume B. 17. Hammoudi I. 13. Oggad B. 12. Yohou S.	16. Basilio E. (G) 20. Bokangu B. 13. Dabasse A. 18. Evans J. 17. Guendez M. 12. Julloux A. 14. Nahounou Y. 19. Ouotro P. 15. Suljic C.
Coaches
Videira P.	Correa P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Barbier H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Saint-Ruf N. 🟨,
53', Fdaouch Z. 🟨,
63', Ribelin A. ↓, Calodat L. ↑,
71', Luvambo T. ↓, Gueye D. ↑,
72', Rossignol M. ↓, Hammoudi I. ↑,
72', Rabillard A. ↓, Guillaume B. ↑,
78', Gelin J. ↓, Suljic C. ↑,
78', Fdaouch Z. ↓, Ouotro P. ↑,
79', Bouabdelli W. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
80', Saint-Ruf N. ↓, Nahounou Y. ↑,
84', Buades L. ↓, Oggad B. ↑,
89', Bamba R. ↓, Guendez M. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 1)
1, Guillaume B. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Ouotro P. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Calodat L. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Fernandez N. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Robin M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Experience M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Gueye D. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 2.

Le Mans is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nancy is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Nancy has had a series of away games.

In this match, Le Mans is seen as the favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1.1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Le Mans - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.82%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 2
03.01.26	Le Mans - Saint-Étienne	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
19.12.25	Périgny - Le Mans	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
12.12.25	Annecy - Le Mans	1:2 ✺
05.12.25	Le Mans - Amiens	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
29.11.25	Villeneuve-Garenne - Le Mans	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWWWW
- AS Nancy Lorraine
French Ligue 2
03.01.26	Amiens - Nancy	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
20.12.25	Grenoble - Nancy	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
12.12.25	Nancy - Clermont	1:0 ✺
05.12.25	Grenoble - Nancy	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
28.11.25	Sarreguemines - Nancy	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
31.10.25	Le Mans - Nancy	1:0
French Ligue 3
28.03.25	Nancy - Le Mans	2:0
01.11.24	Le Mans - Nancy	0:4
26.04.24	Nancy - Le Mans	3:6
01.12.23	Le Mans - Nancy	1:3
17.02.23	Le Mans - Nancy	0:1
09.09.22	Nancy - Le Mans	2:0

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