Match Info

National - Round 11

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Bourg-Péronnas		Fleury 91

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.05	2.08
	4.04	3.13	2.08
	3.61	3.04	2.11	Watch
	3.2	3	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (3.18)	3.06 ↑ (3)	2.13 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bourg-Péronnas
25.8%

Draw
30.5%

Fleury 91
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

30.5%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

29.3%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bourg-Péronnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Fleury 91 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bourg-Péronnas than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleury 91 than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	11.1%	77.8%

Bourg Péronnas - Fleury 91 Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bourg-Péronnas will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Fleury will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fleury: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fleury 91 will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Boulhendi T. (G) 4. Do Marcolino A. 19. Sylla M. 13. Conte M. 12. Pembele A. 28. Slimani R. 21. Bodmer M. 3. Koite C. 10. Meyer J. (C) 9. Besic B. 14. Banzouzi D.	40. Alette G. (G) 23. Bovis E. (C) 26. Karamoko H. 2. Colombo F. 25. Jean-Pierre M. 9. Rivas J. 5. Aubourg H. 20. Hervieu L. 27. Gannoun K. 17. Lavigne V. 14. Belliard M.
Substitutes
7. Guel M. 33. Keita E. M. 5. Lacour Q. 29. Magassouba M. 16. Mazuy A. (G)	19. Farade K. 7. Lambese S. 6. Lefebvre G. 11. Sylla S. 21. Tchouatcha J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Besic B. ⚽, Meyer J. (A),
36', Bovis E. 🟨,
42', Colombo F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Aubourg H. ↓, Lefebvre G. ↑,
65', Banzouzi D. ↓, Keita E. M. ↑,
66', Slimani R. ↓, Magassouba M. ↑,
68', Hervieu L. 🟨,
71', Belliard M. ↓, Lambese S. ↑,
71', Gannoun K. ↓, Farade K. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Farade K. ⚽,
79', Karamoko H. 🟨,
80', 🟨,
81', 2 - 1, Meyer J. (Pen),
81', Meyer J. ↓, Guel M. ↑,
82', Jean-Pierre M. ↓, Sylla S. ↑,
89', Bovis E. ↓, Tchouatcha J. ↑,
90', Besic B. ↓, Lacour Q. ↑,
90+1', Do Marcolino A. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 2, Farade K. (Pen),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Recent form of Bourg-Péronnas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fleury-Merogis has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fleury-Merogis could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Bourg-Péronnas
French Ligue 3
17.10.25	Stade Briochin - Bourg-Péronnas	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Versailles	0:1 ✺
26.09.25	Rouen FC - Bourg-Péronnas	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Quevilly	0:3 ✺
12.09.25	Orleans - Bourg-Péronnas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLLL
- FC Fleury 91
French Ligue 3
17.10.25	Fleury 91 - Versailles	0:0 ✺
03.10.25	Quevilly - Fleury 91	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Fleury 91 - Aubagne	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Concarneau - Fleury 91	0:1 ✺
05.09.25	Villefranche - Fleury 91	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTLWW

Bourg-Péronnas - Fleury 91: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide