Match Info

National - Round 13

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV
World	FIFA+


	Aubagne		Le Puy

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.15	2.48
	2.82	3.2	2.63
	2.63	3.02	2.63	Watch
	2.65	3.02	2.49	Watch
	2.55	3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.63)	3.08 ↑ (3.02)	2.57 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aubagne
34.4%

Draw
29.8%

Le Puy
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

30.3%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

30%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aubagne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Le Puy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aubagne than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Puy than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Aubagne - Le Puy Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Aubagne will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Le Puy will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aubagne (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Gil J. (G) 26. Nehari M. (C) 12. M'Dahoma K. 15. Mimb Baheng R. 13. Abdallah M. 4. Diaby A. 23. Hamek M. 34. El Kaddouri B. 28. Bentoumi M. 39. Doukara S. 7. Chaban K.	30. Carvalho M. (G) 3. Seidou E. 25. Mohamed I. 5. Zogba M. (C) 14. Goumot E. 8. Akkal S. 26. Esmel H. 7. Faty M. 23. Gromat J. 24. Nsingi P. 15. Rodrigues C.
Substitutes
21. Ali Hamidou N. D. 3. Ben Hamed Y. 22. Curis I. 27. Daou R. 31. Maghlout M.	9. Adelaide M. 28. Doumbia C. 12. Irabor B. 21. Sakho T. 10. Wade P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 4)
7', 0 - 1, Rodrigues C. (Pen),
19', 0 - 2, Rodrigues C. ⚽,
24', 0 - 3, Gromat J. ⚽, Goumot E. (A),
26', Gromat J. 🟨,
27', 1 - 3, Hamek M. ⚽,
35', Diaby A. 🟨,
43', Mimb Baheng R. 🟨,
44', 1 - 4, Nsingi P. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mimb Baheng R. ↓, Ben Hamed Y. ↑,
46', Bentoumi M. ↓, Maghlout M. ↑,
46', Doukara S. ↓, Daou R. ↑,
47', Maghlout M. 🟨,
64', Nsingi P. ↓, Adelaide M. ↑,
65', Mohamed I. 🟨,
66', Gromat J. ↓, Wade P. ↑,
73', Hamek M. ↓, Curis I. ↑,
77', Rodrigues C. ↓, Irabor B. ↑,
87', Faty M. ↓, Doumbia C. ↑,
87', Esmel H. ↓, Sakho T. ↑,
90', Nehari M. 🟨,
90+4', Daou R. 🟥,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 13).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aubagne won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Aubagne won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Aubagne - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.83%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Aubagne Air Bel
French Ligue 3
31.10.25	Châteauroux - Aubagne	0:3 ✺
21.10.25	Aubagne - Valenciennes	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Sochaux - Aubagne	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Aubagne - Dijon	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Fleury 91 - Aubagne	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTLTW
- Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne
French Ligue 3
31.10.25	Le Puy - Concarneau	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Le Puy - Villefranche	3:0 ✺
03.10.25	Caen - Le Puy	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Le Puy - Paris 13 Atletico	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Stade Briochin - Le Puy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

French National 1 - Group A
02.12.23	Aubagne - Le Puy	0:0
Coupe De France
16.11.13	Aubagne - Le Puy	2:0

Aubagne - Le Puy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide