Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Lealtad		Rayo Cantabria

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.68
	2.47	3.02	2.98
	2.73	3.13	2.50	Watch
	2.5	3.13	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.43)	3.07 ↑ (3)	2.76 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lealtad
36.4%

Draw
30.1%

Rayo Cantabria
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

30%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

29%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lealtad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Rayo Cantabria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Cantabria than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Lealtad - Rayo Cantabria Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rayo Cantabria (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Lealtad (1.72) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Lealtad (votes: 3 - 75%). Rayo Cantabria (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Pesquera R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
69', Krehl A. 🟥,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Lealtad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lealtad
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.11.25	Coruxo - Lealtad	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Lealtad - Atlético Astorga	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Burgos Promesas - Lealtad	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Lealtad - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Valladolid B - Lealtad	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLTTL
- Deportivo Rayo Cantabria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.11.25	Rayo Cantabria - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Real Oviedo B - Rayo Cantabria	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Rayo Cantabria - Bergantiños	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Atlético Astorga - Rayo Cantabria	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Rayo Cantabria - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTLTT

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