Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 41

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Leonesa		Burgos

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.4	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.3
	2.92	3.05	2.42	Watch
	3.12	3.34	2.45
	3.03	3.29	2.39	Watch
	2.9	3	2.4
	3.09	3.22	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.12)	3.14 ↑ (3.05)	2.4 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
31.2%

Draw
29.8%

Burgos
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

31%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

31.6%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	44.4%	44.4%

Leonesa - Burgos Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Burgos will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Badia E. (G) 24. Garcia V. 36. Barzic M. 5. Fornos Q. (C) 21. Hinojo R. 15. Ribeiro L. 14. Bicho 22. Radoja N. 11. Moreno V. 10. Chacon L. 7. Collado D.	13. Cantero A. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 6. Gonzalez S. 8. Sierra G. 12. Miguel F. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 23. Morante I. 5. Atienza M. (C) 21. Cordoba I. 9. Nino F. 10. Appin K.
Substitutes
1. Banuz M. (G) 23. Diallo Selu M. 8. Gonzalez Y. 6. Maestre S. 39. Morante A. 28. Ojeda T. 26. Rafus A. (G) 16. Ribeiro T. 2. Rodriguez P. 3. Satrustegui E. 19. Sobrino R.	15. Bunuel A. 17. Cantero M. 30. Cuenca Martinez H. F. 28. del Cerro S. 33. Exposito M. 4. Galdames P. 31. Garcia F. 3. Luengo O. 22. Martinez B. 7. Mejia M. 11. Mollejo V. 1. Ruiz J. (G)
Coaches
de la Barrera R.	Ramis L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', Barzic M. 🟨,
7', 0 - 1, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', 0 - 2, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Morante I. 🟨,
65', Appin K. 🟨,
65', Fornos Q. 🟨,
67', Morante I. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
67', Gonzalez S. ↓, Luengo O. ↑,
67', Radoja N. ↓, Ojeda T. ↑,
67', Moreno V. ↓, Morante A. ↑,
67', Collado D. ↓, Sobrino R. ↑,
69', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 🟨,
79', Appin K. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
79', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
82', Ojeda T. 🟨,
84', Bicho ↓, Diallo Selu M. ↑,
89', Nino F. ↓, Exposito M. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 1.

Leonesa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Burgos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Leonesa: Calero I. (Red Card) Justo M. (Injury) Ojeda T. (Muscle Injury) Rodri Suarez (Foot Injury) Tresaco R. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Burgos: Curro (Yellow Cards) Gonzalez M. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Leonesa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 1.7:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Burgos CF	8	4	2	2	12:9	3	14

Last Results with these Odds

Leonesa - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 30.27%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish LaLiga2
16.05.26	Leonesa - Eibar	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Albacete Balompié - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Leonesa - Cádiz	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Mirandés - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Leonesa - Córdoba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTLL
- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
16.05.26	Granada - Burgos	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Burgos - Almería	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Real Sociedad B - Burgos	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Burgos - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Castellón - Burgos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
15.08.25	Burgos - Leonesa	5:1
Club Friendly
30.07.25	Burgos - Leonesa	0:0
09.08.24	Burgos - Leonesa	0:1
26.07.23	Burgos - Leonesa	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.02.21	Burgos - Leonesa	2:1
29.11.20	Leonesa - Burgos	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.02.20	Burgos - Leonesa	2:0

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