Match Info

Date: 16 May 2021, Sunday


	Lealtad		Pontevedra

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	2
	4.75	2.9	1.85
	4.4	2.85	1.87
	5.04	2.96	1.89
	4.6	3	1.8
	4.55	3.13	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.47 ↑ (3.92)	2.97 ↓ (3.25)	1.88 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lealtad
20.5%

Draw
30.8%

Pontevedra
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

27.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

21.6%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lealtad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Pontevedra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pontevedra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lealtad - Pontevedra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Lealtad is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Pontevedra is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Pontevedra is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lealtad won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Lealtad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lealtad
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.05.21	Coruxo - Lealtad	2:1 ✺
02.05.21	Lealtad - Salamanca	0:0 ✺
25.04.21	Lealtad - Guijuelo	2:3 ✺
18.04.21	Pontevedra - Lealtad	0:0 ✺
11.04.21	Lealtad - Coruxo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTLTT
- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.05.21	Pontevedra - Sporting de Gijón B	1:2 ✺
02.05.21	Covadonga - Pontevedra	0:3 ✺
25.04.21	Real Oviedo B - Pontevedra	0:0 ✺
18.04.21	Pontevedra - Lealtad	0:0 ✺
11.04.21	Sporting de Gijón B - Pontevedra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.04.21	Pontevedra - Lealtad	0:0
05.03.17	Lealtad - Pontevedra	0:1
16.10.16	Pontevedra - Lealtad	3:0
31.01.16	Pontevedra - Lealtad	2:2
13.09.15	Lealtad - Pontevedra	1:0

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