Match Info

Date: 25 April 2021, Sunday


	Lealtad		Guijuelo

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.2
	2	3.45	3.2
	2.17	3.1	3.05
	2.17	3.6	3.21
	2.1	3.1	3.5
	2.17	3.06	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.94)	3.21 ↓ (3.28)	3.26 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lealtad
43.2%

Draw
28.6%

Guijuelo
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

27.6%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

19%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lealtad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Guijuelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lealtad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guijuelo than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guijuelo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lealtad - Guijuelo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Lealtad is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Guijuelo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lealtad will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Lealtad won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Lealtad won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lealtad
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.04.21	Pontevedra - Lealtad	0:0 ✺
11.04.21	Lealtad - Coruxo	0:0 ✺
04.04.21	Salamanca - Lealtad	1:1 ✺
21.03.21	Lealtad - Langreo	0:1 ✺
14.03.21	Burgos - Lealtad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTTLL
- CD Guijuelo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.04.21	Guijuelo - Sporting de Gijón B	1:0 ✺
11.04.21	Covadonga - Guijuelo	3:3 ✺
04.04.21	Guijuelo - Real Oviedo B	0:2 ✺
28.03.21	Guijuelo - Pontevedra	2:1 ✺
21.03.21	Ferrol - Guijuelo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.01.17	Guijuelo - Lealtad	0:3
11.09.16	Lealtad - Guijuelo	2:1
06.03.16	Lealtad - Guijuelo	0:1
18.10.15	Guijuelo - Lealtad	1:0
25.04.15	Guijuelo - Lealtad	1:2
07.12.14	Lealtad - Guijuelo	1:1

Lealtad - Guijuelo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide