Match Info

Date: 5 July 2022, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Poznań)

Referee: Munuera Montero J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Serbia	Arena Sport


	Lech Poznań		Qarabağ Agdam

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.7
	2.05	3.3	3.85
	1.94	3.25	3.8
	2.03	3.4	3.85
	1.91	3.25	4	Watch
	2.02	3.35	3.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.08)	3.34 ↓ (3.35)	3.77 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań
47.1%

Draw
28.1%

Qarabağ Agdam
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

28%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

28.5%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	11.7%	14.6%

Lech Poznań - Qarabağ Agdam Predictions

Users Predictions: 137 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 101 - 73.7%). Qarabağ will win (votes: 20 - 14.6%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 11.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 66.3% – 81.1%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Lech is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Qarabağ is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lech could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Lech have a series of home games.

Lech will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań
Club Friendly
28.06.22	Lech Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:1 ✺
23.06.22	Lech Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin	0:1 ✺
18.06.22	Lech Poznań - Widzew Łódź	1:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.05.22	Lech Poznań - Zagłębie Lubin	2:1 ✺
14.05.22	Warta Poznań - Lech Poznań	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLWW
- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Club Friendly
29.06.22	Universitatea Craiova - Qarabağ Agdam	1:1 ✺
29.06.22	Holstein Kiel - Qarabağ Agdam	2:2 ✺
25.06.22	Qarabağ Agdam - Botoșani	4:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
27.05.22	Qarabağ Agdam - Zira	2:1 penalties ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
21.05.22	Qarabağ Agdam - Neftchi Baku	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTWWW

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