The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Lech Poznań 50.7%
Draw 24.3%
Pogoń Szczecin 25%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.7%
23.6%
23.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.3%
22.9%
23%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
91.7%
8.3%
0%
Lech Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lech Poznań will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lech Poznań will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Mrozek B. (G) 2. Pereira J. 3. Douglas A. 16. Milic A. (C) 15. Gurgul M. 88. Ismaheel T. 43. Kozubal A. 24. Jagiello F. 77. Palma L. 99. Rodriguez P. 9. Ishak M.
77. Cojocaru V. (G) 28. Wahlqvist L. 13. Keramitsis D. 2. Huja M. 32. Koutris L. 8. Ulvestad F. 19. Ndiaye M. 7. Juwara M. 90. Greenwood S. 9. Molnar R. 11. Grosicki K. (C)
Substitutes
7. Agnero Y. 31. Bakowski K. (G) 14. Bengtsson L. 19. Fiabema B. 20. Gumny R. 56. Lisman K. 27. Monka W. 4. Moutinho J. 22. Murawski R. 6. Ouma T. 72. Skrzypczak M.
15. Ali H. 6. Bieganski J. 38. Jakubowski R. 31. Kaminski K. (G) 99. Kostorz K. 17. Lis J. 18. Mukairu P. 14. Pozo J. 61. Smolinski K. 35. Wojciechowski M.
Coaches
Frederiksen N.
Thomasberg T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Grosicki K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Ishak M. ⚽, Palma L. (A),
63', Kozubal A. ↓, Ouma T. ↑,
63', Jagiello F. 🟨,
69', Juwara M. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
76', Grosicki K. ↓, Mukairu P. ↑,
76', Gurgul M. ↓, Moutinho J. ↑,
76', Ismaheel T. ↓, Bengtsson L. ↑,
76', Keramitsis D. ↓, Smolinski K. ↑,
82', Rodriguez P. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
82', Palma L. ↓, Lisman K. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Bengtsson L. ⚽, Jagiello F. (A),
90', Greenwood S. ↓, Pozo J. ↑,
90', Molnar R. ↓, Kostorz K. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 2, Mukairu P. ⚽, Pozo J. (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 3.
Lech is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Pogoń Szczecin is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Lech is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Lech: Gholizadeh A.
(Thigh Injury)
Hakans D.
(Ankle Injury)
Murawski R.
(Leg Injury)
Walemark P.
(Surgery)
There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Leo Borges
(Injury)
We predict that Lech will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lech won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).