Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 29

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday


	Lech Poznań 2		Stal Stalowa Wola

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.35
	2.6	3.4	2.4	Watch
	2.54	3.5	2.63
	2.49	3.4	2.61
	2.5	3.5	2.25
	2.82	3.39	2.32	Watch
	2.65	3.6	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.78)	3.46 ↑ (3.25)	2.43 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań 2
35.5%

Draw
26.6%

Stal Stalowa Wola
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

28.6%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

28.2%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

The chances for Stal Stalowa Wola have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Lech Poznań 2 - Stal Stalowa Wola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Stachowiak A. (G) . Brzyski I. . Dziuba M. . Jakobczyk K. . Kornobis I. . Kukulka K. . Monka W. . Nadolski A. . Orlowski M. (C) . Pietrzak M. . Wichtowski M.	. Smylek M. (G) . Furtak L. . Gorski J. . Imiela A. . Kowalski J. (C) . Mydlarz M. . Oko D. . Soszynski L. . Strozik S. . Sukiennicki O. . Ziarko A.
Substitutes
. Cywka T. . Gmur T. . Kalata K. . Niedzielski J. . Orzechowski K. . Paclawski N. . Pawlowski S. . Stankiewicz I. . Zborek W. (G)	. Banach J. . Chelmecki K. . Maluga D. . Muzyk W. (G) . Pioterczak B. . Rogala P. . Wiktoruk B. . Wojtak M. . Zaucha P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Sukiennicki O. 🟨,
62', Gorski J. ↓, Maluga D. ↑,
62', Kornobis I. ↓, Pawlowski S. ↑,
62', Jakobczyk K. ↓, Paclawski N. ↑,
62', Ziarko A. ↓, Zaucha P. ↑,
67', Brzyski I. 🟨,
69', Pietrzak M. ↓, Cywka T. ↑,
81', Wichtowski M. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Stal Stalowa Wola could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lech 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Lech 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 2
15.04.24	ŁKS Łódź II - Lech Poznań 2	2:2 ✺
10.04.24	Lech Poznań 2 - GKS Jastrzębie	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Wisła Puławy	0:1 ✺
30.03.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Lech Poznań 2	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Lech Poznań 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWLLT
- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 2
13.04.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Olimpia Elbląg	0:0 ✺
07.04.24	Polonia Bytom - Stal Stalowa Wola	4:3 ✺
28.03.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:1 ✺
24.03.24	Hutnik - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:1 ✺
20.03.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Wisła Puławy	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
06.10.23	Stal Stalowa Wola - Lech Poznań 2	3:1
01.07.20	Stal Stalowa Wola - Lech Poznań 2	2:1
06.10.19	Lech Poznań 2 - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:2

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