Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 25

Date: 10 April 2024, Wednesday


	Lech Poznań 2		GKS Jastrzębie

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.25	2.25
	2.8	3.3	2.3	Watch
	2.82	3.55	2.31
	2.82	3.44	2.31
	2.7	3.4	2.15
	2.85	3.43	2.28	Watch
	2.85	3.4	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.75)	3.4 ↑ (3.25)	2.28 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań 2
32.8%

Draw
27%

GKS Jastrzębie
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

28.7%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

28.8%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

GKS Jastrzębie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Lech Poznań 2 - GKS Jastrzębie Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Medrala M. (G) . Brzyski I. . Dziuba M. . Gurgul M. . Jakobczyk K. . Kornobis I. . Monka W. . Nadolski A. . Orlowski M. (C) . Pietrzak M. . Wichtowski M.	12. Trojanowski J. (G) 23. Araujo Guilherme J. L. 25. Baranowski P. 18. Bednarski M. 27. Borun B. 5. Chmarek M. 17. Fietz K. 47. Kargul-Grobla K. 11. Kiebzak S. 7. Lech P. (C) 4. Rogala S.
Substitutes
. Cywka T. . Dudek S. . Kukulka K. . Niedzielski J. . Orzechowski K. . Paclawski N. . Pawlowski S. . Stachowiak A. (G) . Stankiewicz I.	1. Drazik G. (G) 20. Goluch S. 8. Jadach K. 6. Maszkowski S. 22. Matuszek S. 28. Sajdak G. 24. Szymczak D. 26. Ziewiec J. 19. Zych K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Dziuba M. ⚽,
43', Monka W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kiebzak S. ↓, Maszkowski S. ↑,
46', Lech P. ↓, Matuszek S. ↑,
46', Chmarek M. ↓, Zych K. ↑,
46', Monka W. ↓, Kukulka K. ↑,
52', Gurgul M. 🟨,
61', Jakobczyk K. ↓, Paclawski N. ↑,
67', Pietrzak M. ↓, Pawlowski S. ↑,
74', Nadolski A. ↓, Cywka T. ↑,
78', Brzyski I. 🟨,
83', 2 - 0, Wichtowski M. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Lech 2 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches GKS Jastrzębie is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lech 2 won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Lech 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 2
06.04.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Wisła Puławy	0:1 ✺
30.03.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Lech Poznań 2	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Lech Poznań 2	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Radunia Stężyca	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Skra Częstochowa - Lech Poznań 2	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLTLW
- GKS 1962 Jastrzębie
Polish Division 2
06.04.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - GKS Jastrzębie	2:1 ✺
28.03.24	GKS Jastrzębie - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	3:1 ✺
17.03.24	GKS Jastrzębie - Olimpia Elbląg	1:2 ✺
13.03.24	GKS Jastrzębie - KKS Kalisz	1:1 ✺
08.03.24	Polonia Bytom - GKS Jastrzębie	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
08.09.23	GKS Jastrzębie - Lech Poznań 2	0:2
28.05.23	Lech Poznań 2 - GKS Jastrzębie	1:1
22.10.22	GKS Jastrzębie - Lech Poznań 2	0:1

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