Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 10

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Amica Wronki Stadium (Wronki)


	Lech Poznań 2		Wda Świecie

	1	X	2
	1.70	3.75	3.75
	1.77	3.75	3.45
	1.70	3.90	4.00
	1.69	4	3.99	Watch
	1.63	3.85	3.95
	1.74	4.10	3.79	Watch
	1.69	3.79	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.76)	3.88 ↑ (3.8)	3.8 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań 2
53%

Draw
23.3%

Wda Świecie
23.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.7%

23.5%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

22%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Wda Świecie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wda Świecie than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Lech Poznań 2 - Wda Świecie Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Kozlowski S. ⚽,
12', 0 - 2, Retlewski D. (Penalty Awarded),
19', Cegielka M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 0 - 3, De Souza K. ⚽,
58', 1 - 3, Jakobczyk K. ⚽,
79', 1 - 4, Kozlowski S. ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 5th and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech 2 won 4.

Lech 2 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Wda Świecie has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Lech 2 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Lech 2 is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Lech 2 has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 22:6 (averaging 3.1:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lech 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:2 goals (averaging 2.7:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Wda Swiecie	12	6	3	3	19:18	1	21
6	Lech Poznan II	11	5	3	3	22:21	1	18

Last Results with these Odds

Lech Poznań 2 - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 50.68%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 3 - Group II
10.10.26	KKS Kalisz - Lech Poznań 2	2:4 ✺
19.09.26	Elana Toruń - Lech Poznań 2	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Noteć Czarnków	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Unia Swarzędz - Lech Poznań 2	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Grom Nowy Staw	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWTL
- Wda Świecie
Polish Division 3 - Group II
10.10.26	Luzino - Wda Świecie	3:0 ✺
03.10.26	Wda Świecie - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:4 ✺
19.09.26	Wda Świecie - Kluczevia Stargard	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	KKS Kalisz - Wda Świecie	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Elana Toruń - Wda Świecie	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
10.04.26	Wda Świecie - Lech Poznań 2	2:3
21.09.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Wda Świecie	6:0
15.03.25	Wda Świecie - Lech Poznań 2	1:1
21.08.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Wda Świecie	1:0
03.11.18	Wda Świecie - Lech Poznań 2	0:5
12.05.18	Wda Świecie - Lech Poznań 2	1:5
14.10.17	Lech Poznań 2 - Wda Świecie	1:2

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