Match Info

Date: 15 September 2022, Thursday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Poznań)

Referee: Kjaesgaard P. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Lech Poznań		Austria Wien

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	4
	1.82	3.6	4
	1.87	3.6	4.2
	1.87	3.7	3.8
	1.86	3.62	4.27
	1.8	3.74	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 (1.85)	3.67 ↑ (3.5)	4.05 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań
51.1%

Draw
25.7%

Austria Wien
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

26.5%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

25.8%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

The chances for Austria Wien have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.3%	14.3%	22.4%

Lech Poznań - Austria Wien Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 31 - 63.3%). Austria will win (votes: 11 - 22.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 49.8% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Lech has currently - 0, has a very small chance of 1st (4%), has a chance of 2nd (37%), has a chance of 3rd (30%), has a chance of round of 16 (21%), has a small chance of qtrs (8%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Austria has currently - 1, has a very small chance of 1st (2%), has a chance of 2nd (21%), has a chance of 3rd (33%), has a small chance of round of 16 (10%), has a very small chance of qtrs (4%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 47, big importance 84, match rating 65. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Lech will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Lech: Ba Loua A. (Injury) Marchwinski F. (Injury) Salamon B. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Austria: Baltaxa M. (Ankle Injury) Handl J. (Injury) Raguz M. (Injury) Wustinger F. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.09.22	Pogoń Szczecin - Lech Poznań	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.09.22	Villarreal - Lech Poznań	4:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
04.09.22	Lech Poznań - Widzew Łódź	2:0 ✺
31.08.22	Lechia Gdańsk - Lech Poznań	0:3 ✺
28.08.22	Lech Poznań - Piast Gliwice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLWWW
- Austria Wien
Austrian Bundesliga
11.09.22	Hartberg - Austria Wien	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.09.22	Austria Wien - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
03.09.22	Austria Wien - Austria Lustenau	2:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
31.08.22	Siegendorf - Austria Wien	0:5 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
28.08.22	Austria Klagenfurt - Austria Wien	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTTWT

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