Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 30

Date: 29 April 2024, Monday


	Stomil Olsztyn		Lech Poznań 2

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3
	2.15	3.2	3.1
	2.21	3.1	3.44
	2.22	2.96	3.44
	2.1	3.1	3
	2.15	3.23	3.27	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.9)	3.11 ↓ (3.6)	3.22 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stomil Olsztyn
42.2%

Draw
29.4%

Lech Poznań 2
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

25.9%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

25.2%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stomil Olsztyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stomil Olsztyn's form might have worsened.

Lech Poznań 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stomil Olsztyn than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stomil Olsztyn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Stomil Olsztyn - Lech Poznań 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Garstkiewicz M. (G) 18. Bezpalec M. 77. Florek B. 3. Kuban L. 23. Laskowski F. 8. Retlewski D. 25. Sadowski H. 14. Szabaciuk F. 17. Szramowski L. 11. Wojcik F. 10. Zwir K. (C)	. Stachowiak A. (G) . Dziuba M. . Kornobis I. . Kukulka K. . Monka W. . Nadolski A. . Niedzielski J. . Orlowski M. (C) . Paclawski N. . Pietrzak M. . Wichtowski M.
Substitutes
27. Brikner I. 74. Drabiszczak M. 50. Karlikowski M. 4. Kosmicki I. 7. Krawczun H. 9. Kurbiel P. 19. Pietraszkiewicz D. 12. Szpaderski J. (G) 26. Walencik B.	. Cywka T. . Czekala M. . Kalata K. . Maza S. . Olejnik P. . Orzechowski K. . Wolski F. . Zborek W. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Sadowski H. 🟨,
57', Retlewski D. ↓, Pietraszkiewicz D. ↑,
61', Kukulka K. 🟨,
67', Szramowski L. ↓, Kurbiel P. ↑,
71', Niedzielski J. ↓, Cywka T. ↑,
77', Laskowski F. ↓, Karlikowski M. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Kurbiel P. ⚽,
80', Paclawski N. ↓, Maza S. ↑,
84', Kuban L. 🟨,
84', Pietrzak M. 🟨,
85', Nadolski A. ↓, Czekala M. ↑,
85', Kornobis I. ↓, Wolski F. ↑,
90', Florek B. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Lech 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Stomil will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Stomil won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Stomil won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stomil Olsztyn
Polish Division 2
22.04.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Stomil Olsztyn	1:1 ✺
12.04.24	Stomil Olsztyn - Polonia Bytom	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Stomil Olsztyn	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Stomil Olsztyn - Hutnik	3:0 ✺
23.03.24	KKS Kalisz - Stomil Olsztyn	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLTWT
- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 2
21.04.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:0 ✺
15.04.24	ŁKS Łódź II - Lech Poznań 2	2:2 ✺
10.04.24	Lech Poznań 2 - GKS Jastrzębie	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Wisła Puławy	0:1 ✺
30.03.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Lech Poznań 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
08.11.23	Lech Poznań 2 - Stomil Olsztyn	1:0
07.05.23	Lech Poznań 2 - Stomil Olsztyn	0:3
01.10.22	Stomil Olsztyn - Lech Poznań 2	2:2
Club Friendly
20.07.19	Lech Poznań 2 - Stomil Olsztyn	0:1

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