Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 9

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Amica Wronki Stadium (Wronki)


	Lech Poznań 2		Wda Świecie

	1	X	2
	1.31	5.15	6.5
	1.33	5.01	5.89
	1.18	7.55	9.22	Watch
	1.3	5.05	7.55	Watch
	1.55	4.75	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.38)	5.5 ↓ (5.55)	6.72 ↑ (5.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań 2
69.4%

Draw
16.8%

Wda Świecie
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

16.4%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

15.7%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Wda Świecie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wda Świecie than the current prediction. (+3%)

Lech Poznań 2 - Wda Świecie Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Jakobczyk K. ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Jakobczyk K. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
51', 3 - 0, Baranski B. ⚽,
62', 4 - 0, Jakobczyk K. ⚽,
68', 5 - 0, Jakobczyk K. ⚽,
80', 6 - 0, Gmur T. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Lech 2 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wda Świecie's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Lech 2 is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech 2 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 2.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lech 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 3 - Group II
17.09.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Noteć Czarnków	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Lech Poznań 2	3:3 ✺
31.08.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Lech Poznań 2	1:4 ✺
27.08.25	Unia Swarzędz - Lech Poznań 2	1:4 ✺
22.08.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Kluczevia Stargard	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTWWW
- Wda Świecie
Polish Division 3 - Group II
14.09.25	Wda Świecie - Elana Toruń	2:5 ✺
07.09.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Wda Świecie	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Wda Świecie - Cartusia Kartuzy	0:4 ✺
27.08.25	Kluczevia Stargard - Wda Świecie	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Wda Świecie - Unia Swarzędz	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
15.03.25	Wda Świecie - Lech Poznań 2	1:1
21.08.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Wda Świecie	1:0
03.11.18	Wda Świecie - Lech Poznań 2	0:5
12.05.18	Wda Świecie - Lech Poznań 2	1:5
14.10.17	Lech Poznań 2 - Wda Świecie	1:2

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