Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 32

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday


	Lech Poznań 2		Znicz Pruszków

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	1.8
	3.8	3.6	1.7
	3.31	4.05	1.92
	3.5	3.3	1.83
	3.52	3.62	1.9	Watch
	4	3.65	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (2.9)	3.64 ↑ (3.25)	1.83 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań 2
25.2%

Draw
25%

Znicz Pruszków
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

28.8%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

28.8%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lech Poznań 2's form might have worsened.

Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Znicz Pruszków's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lech Poznań 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Znicz Pruszków, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lech Poznań 2 - Znicz Pruszków Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lech 2 won 4.

Lech 2 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Znicz is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lech 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Lech 2 won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Lech 2 won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 2
14.05.23	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Lech Poznań 2	1:2 ✺
07.05.23	Lech Poznań 2 - Stomil Olsztyn	0:3 ✺
29.04.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Lech Poznań 2	3:0 ✺
23.04.23	Lech Poznań 2 - KKS Kalisz	0:4 ✺
16.04.23	Motor Lublin - Lech Poznań 2	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLLL
- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Division 2
12.05.23	Znicz Pruszków - GKS Jastrzębie	1:2 ✺
05.05.23	Znicz Pruszków - Śląsk Wrocław 2	2:1 ✺
29.04.23	Stomil Olsztyn - Znicz Pruszków	0:0 ✺
23.04.23	Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Siedlce	0:0 ✺
17.04.23	KKS Kalisz - Znicz Pruszków	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
16.10.22	Znicz Pruszków - Lech Poznań 2	0:1
09.03.22	Lech Poznań 2 - Znicz Pruszków	2:1
14.08.21	Znicz Pruszków - Lech Poznań 2	0:1
Polish Cup
04.08.21	Lech Poznań 2 - Znicz Pruszków	2:0 ET
Polish Division 2
14.04.21	Lech Poznań 2 - Znicz Pruszków	2:5
09.10.20	Znicz Pruszków - Lech Poznań 2	2:1
11.07.20	Znicz Pruszków - Lech Poznań 2	1:2

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