Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 29

Date: 24 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Polsat Plus Arena (Gdansk)

Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Extra, Polsat Sport News


	Lechia Gdańsk		Polonia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	5.25
	1.49	4.2	5.5
	1.53	4.2	5.5
	1.52	4.32	6.01
	1.52	4.32	6.01
	1.44	4	5.8
	1.49	4.24	5.8
	1.48	4	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.49)	4.19 ↓ (4.21)	5.62 ↑ (5.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Gdańsk
61.5%

Draw
22.1%

Polonia Warsaw
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

21.8%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

20.7%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Polonia Warsaw have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Lechia Gdańsk - Polonia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: Lechia Gdańsk will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Sarnavskyi B. (G) 27. Bugaj D. 4. Chindris A. 3. Olsson E. 23. Kalahur M. 5. Zhelizko I. 99. Neugebauer T. 7. Mena C. 8. Kapic R. (C) 30. Khlan M. 9. Zjawinski L.	57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 2. Grudniewski M. 66. Kowalski-Haberek M. (C) 34. Plesnierowicz W. 37. Zawistowski N. 8. Wojciechowski O. 16. Koton K. 22. Biedrzycki B. 10. Bajdur M. 77. Michalski M. 11. Kobusinski S.
Substitutes
6. Bieganski J. 26. Brzek B. 16. D'Arrigo L. 94. Gueho L. 72. Koperski F. 83. Mikulko A. (G) 11. Pila D. 79. Sezonienko K. 21. Sypek J.	23. Arak F. 29. Fadecki W. 13. Grzelczak A. 7. Kluska M. 21. Majsterek J. 20. Marciniec P. 14. Okhronchuk V. 1. Sandach A. (G) 9. Tomczyk P.
Coaches
Grabowski S.	Smalec R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Khlan M. ⚽, Mena C. (A),
45+6', Michalski M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Michalski M. ↓, Kluska M. ↑,
62', Zawistowski N. ↓, Fadecki W. ↑,
65', Zjawinski L. ↓, Sezonienko K. ↑,
69', Neugebauer T. 🟨,
70', Neugebauer T. ↓, Gueho L. ↑,
74', Mena C. 🟨,
78', Sezonienko K. 🟨,
81', Wojciechowski O. ↓, Marciniec P. ↑,
81', Bajdur M. ↓, Tomczyk P. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa and 15).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Lechia is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lechia to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lechia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Lechia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Division 1
20.04.24	Górnik Łęczna - Lechia Gdańsk	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Termalica Nieciecza	3:1 ✺
07.04.24	GKS Katowice - Lechia Gdańsk	1:0 ✺
02.04.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Odra Opole	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Valmiera	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWW
- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1
19.04.24	Polonia Warsaw - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	3:3 ✺
14.04.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
08.04.24	Polonia Warsaw - Resovia Rzeszów	1:0 ✺
01.04.24	Znicz Pruszków - Polonia Warsaw	0:0 ✺
15.03.24	Polonia Warsaw - Wisła Płock	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
31.10.23	Polonia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk	0:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.02.13	Polonia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk	1:1
Club Friendly
23.01.13	Lechia Gdańsk - Polonia Warsaw	4:0
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.08.12	Lechia Gdańsk - Polonia Warsaw	1:3

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