Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 28

Date: 19 April 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion Polonii (Warsaw)

Referee: Malyszek J. (Pol)


	Polonia Warsaw		Zagłębie Sosnowiec

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.75
	1.82	3.4	3.9
	1.9	3.6	3.75
	1.9	3.61	4.01
	1.98	3.53	3.79
	1.8	3.4	3.8
	1.84	3.45	4.05
	1.82	3.4	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.06)	3.49 ↑ (3.37)	3.84 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Warsaw
49.5%

Draw
26.5%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27.4%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

27.2%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Polonia Warsaw - Zagłębie Sosnowiec Predictions

Users Predictions: Polonia Warsaw will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 2. Grudniewski M. 14. Okhronchuk V. 21. Majsterek J. 37. Zawistowski N. 34. Plesnierowicz W. 16. Koton K. 29. Fadecki W. 10. Bajdur M. 77. Michalski M. (C) 11. Kobusinski S.	33. Kos M. (G) 19. Ziemann M. 44. Remy W. 23. Matynia H. 25. Szostek P. 14. Bonecki S. 29. Rozwandowicz M. 97. Sokol D. 10. Janota M. (C) 7. Polyarus A. 9. Bilinski K.
Substitutes
22. Biedrzycki B. 13. Grzelczak A. 7. Kluska M. 66. Kowalski-Haberek M. 20. Marciniec P. 18. Pawlowski D. 1. Sandach A. (G) 9. Tomczyk P. 8. Wojciechowski O.	96. Calinski P. 6. Dovgyi O. 11. Fabry M. 27. Jonczy D. 5. Lipka K. 1. Shevchenko O. (G) 3. Sukhotskyi A. 88. Troc A. 77. Wrzesinski K.
Coaches
Smalec R.	Saganowski M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Bilinski K. ⚽, Sokol D. (A),
32', 0 - 2, Bilinski K. ⚽,
35', 1 - 2, Zawistowski N. ⚽, Michalski M. (A),
42', Janota M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Majsterek J. ↓, Kowalski-Haberek M. ↑,
50', Bonecki S. 🟨,
58', 1 - 3, Bilinski K. ⚽, Szostek P. (A),
62', Plesnierowicz W. 🟨,
66', Michalski M. ↓, Kluska M. ↑,
66', Fadecki W. ↓, Biedrzycki B. ↑,
70', 2 - 3, Bajdur M. (Pen),
71', Bajdur M. 🟨,
76', Szostek P. ↓, Lipka K. ↑,
76', Janota M. ↓, Sukhotskyi A. ↑,
81', Okhronchuk V. ↓, Tomczyk P. ↑,
86', 3 - 3, Grudniewski M. ⚽,
90', Bilinski K. ↓, Fabry M. ↑,
90', Polyarus A. ↓, Wrzesinski K. ↑,
90+5', Wrzesinski K. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Polonia is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Polonia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Polonia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1
14.04.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
08.04.24	Polonia Warsaw - Resovia Rzeszów	1:0 ✺
01.04.24	Znicz Pruszków - Polonia Warsaw	0:0 ✺
15.03.24	Polonia Warsaw - Wisła Płock	2:2 ✺
09.03.24	Motor Lublin - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWTTT
- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 1
12.04.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Górnik Łęczna	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:1 ✺
01.04.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Katowice	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Karviná	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
15.03.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
08.10.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Polonia Warsaw	0:2

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