Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 24

Date: 15 March 2024, Friday

Location: Polsat Plus Arena (Gdansk)

Referee: Rzucidlo P. (Pol)


	Lechia Gdańsk		Zagłębie Sosnowiec

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	6.5
	1.41	4.33	6.75
	1.44	4.33	7
	1.41	4.4	8.55
	1.41	4.4	8.56
	1.35	4.2	7.5
	1.41	4.35	7.18
	1.43	4.25	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.53)	4.31 ↑ (4.06)	7.31 ↑ (5.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Gdańsk
65.8%

Draw
21.5%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

22.9%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

22.1%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Lechia Gdańsk - Zagłębie Sosnowiec Predictions

Users Predictions: Lechia Gdańsk will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Sarnavskyi B. (G) 23. Kalahur M. 4. Chindris A. 3. Olsson E. 11. Pila D. 99. Neugebauer T. 5. Zhelizko I. 7. Mena C. 8. Kapic R. 30. Khlan M. 89. Bobcek T.	1. Shevchenko O. (G) 3. Sukhotskyi A. 29. Rozwandowicz M. 44. Remy W. 77. Wrzesinski K. 10. Janota M. (C) 7. Polyarus A. 6. Dovgyi O. 97. Sokol D. 23. Matynia H. 20. Kirejczyk G.
Substitutes
26. Brzek B. 27. Bugaj D. 16. D'Arrigo L. 94. Gueho L. 72. Koperski F. 83. Mikulko A. (G) 79. Sezonienko K. 21. Sypek J. 9. Zjawinski L.	9. Bilinski K. 14. Bonecki S. 11. Fabry M. 33. Kos M. (G) 5. Lipka K. 25. Szostek P. 88. Troc A. 17. Valencia J. 95. Zielonka N.
Coaches
Grabowski S.	Khatskevich A.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Lechia in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Lechia is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lechia to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lechia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Lechia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Division 1
10.03.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Lechia Gdańsk	1:2 ✺
04.03.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Resovia Rzeszów	4:0 ✺
25.02.24	Znicz Pruszków - Lechia Gdańsk	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Wisła Płock	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.02.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWWT
- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 1
10.03.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Odra Opole	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Resovia Rzeszów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Znicz Pruszków	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.02.24	Polonia Bytom - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
03.09.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Lechia Gdańsk	5:2
Polish Ekstraklasa
16.03.19	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Lechia Gdańsk	0:1
06.10.18	Lechia Gdańsk - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	4:1

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