Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 31

Date: 28 May 2023, Sunday


	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki		Błonianka Błonie

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.2	4.8
	1.47	4.4	4.9
	1.52	4.24	4.53
	1.51	4.15	5.45	Watch
	1.57	4	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.35)	4.2 ↓ (4.5)	4.83 ↓ (7.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
59.8%

Draw
21.5%

Błonianka Błonie
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

20.2%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

11.1%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki's form might have worsened.

Błonianka Błonie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Błonianka Błonie's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-22.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Błonianka Błonie than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Błonianka Błonie Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 3.

Tomaszów Mazowiecki is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Błonianka has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tomaszów Mazowiecki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tomaszów Mazowiecki is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
24.05.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz	0:2 ✺
19.05.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:2 ✺
14.05.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:1 ✺
06.05.23	Legionovia Legionowo - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:0 ✺
29.04.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Unia Skierniewice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLTLW
- Błonianka Błonie
Polish Division 3 - Group I
24.05.23	Błonianka Błonie - Pilica Białobrzegi	0:6 ✺
21.05.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Błonianka Błonie	5:2 ✺
13.05.23	Błonianka Błonie - Warta Sieradz	0:2 ✺
06.05.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Błonianka Błonie	1:1 ✺
28.04.23	Błonianka Błonie - Legia II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.10.22	Błonianka Błonie - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	0:1
30.04.22	Błonianka Błonie - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:1
25.09.21	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Błonianka Błonie	4:0
22.05.21	Błonianka Błonie - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:3
06.03.21	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Błonianka Błonie	0:3

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