Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 33

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Lechia Zielona Góra		Karkonosze Jelenia Góra

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	6.5
	1.25	4.95	9
	1.26	5.55	7.98
	1.28	5.22	8.38	Watch
	1.25	4.8	9.5
	1.23	5.2	10.3	Watch
	1.4	4.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.4)	5 ↑ (4.5)	8.12 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Zielona Góra
70.6%

Draw
18.2%

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

19.7%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

18.4%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Zielona Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lechia Zielona Góra's performance.

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Lechia Zielona Góra - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Flis P. ⚽,
59', 2 - 0, Bargiel P. (Penalty Awarded),
73', 3 - 0, Mycan P. ⚽,
80', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zielona Góra won 3.

Zielona Góra has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Karkonosze's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Zielona Góra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Zielona Góra is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Zielona Góra will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Zielona Góra won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Zielona Góra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Jelenia Gora	11	4	3	4	12:9	3	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Zielona Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
16.05.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Starowice Dolne	5:1 ✺
13.05.26	Polonia Nysa - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Pniówek Pawłowice	1:0 ✺
01.05.26	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Sparta Katowice	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWT
- Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
17.05.26	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Polonia Nysa	3:1 ✺
13.05.26	Słowianin Wolibórz - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	2:2 ✺
08.05.26	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Starowice Dolne - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1:6 ✺
25.04.26	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Miedź Legnica 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
08.11.25	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:2
24.05.25	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:1
03.11.24	Lechia Zielona Góra - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1:1
09.03.24	Lechia Zielona Góra - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	2:1
19.08.23	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Lechia Zielona Góra	3:1
15.06.22	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:4
13.11.21	Lechia Zielona Góra - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1:2

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