Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday


	Lechia Zielona Góra		Skra Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.6	3.1
	1.98	3.55	3.05
	1.31	4.75	8.81	Watch
	2.03	3.81	2.95	Watch
	1.92	3.41	2.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.9)	3.82 ↑ (3.65)	4.18 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Zielona Góra
52.1%

Draw
25%

Skra Częstochowa
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

24.5%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

22.8%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Zielona Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Skra Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Skra Częstochowa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Lechia Zielona Góra - Skra Częstochowa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Mackowiak L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 10).

Zielona Góra has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Skra Częstochowa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Zielona Góra is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Zielona Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
27.08.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:5 ✺
23.08.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	3:0 ✺
17.08.25	Stal Jasień - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Kluczbork	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWWT
- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 3 - Group III
27.08.25	Skra Częstochowa - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Kluczbork - Skra Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Skra Częstochowa - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:3 ✺
09.08.25	Miedź Legnica 2 - Skra Częstochowa	2:2 ✺
Polish Cup
05.08.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Skra Częstochowa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTLTL

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