The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lee Man 43.7%
Draw 24.4%
Wofoo Tai Po 31.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
23.2%
31.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.8%
24.2%
30.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lee Man has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
The chances for Wofoo Tai Po have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lee Man than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wofoo Tai Po than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Lee Man - Wofoo Tai Po Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Chan K. (G) 7. Baffoe N. 8. Camargo E. 77. Gigauri M. 21. Goddard C. 17. Mikael 16. Ngan Lok-Fung (C) 4. Tachibana R. 3. Willian Gaucho 6. Wu C. R. 55. Yu Wai-Lim
1. Lo S. (G) 80. Chung Wai-Keung 10. Fernando 12. Gerson 26. Lee Ka-Ho 14. Marcao 20. Patrick Valverde 9. Paulinho Simionato 18. Sartori I. (C) 13. Sim S. 34. Wong Hin-Sum
Substitutes
30. Hui C. 9. Lau K. 27. Lau Yu-Ho 1. Leung Hing-Kit (G) 99. Poon Pui-Hin 25. Poon S. (G) 19. Sebai S. 31. Yung H. T.
16. Chan Siu-Kwan P. 22. Korani K. 17. Kwok Chun-Nok 7. Michel Renner 19. Sung T. 94. Tse Ka-Wing (G) 28. Tsui L. 2. Yeung H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
14', 1 - 0, Camargo E. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Camargo E. ⚽,
36', 2 - 1, Sartori I. (Penalty Awarded),
42', Goddard C. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 2, Chung Wai-Keung ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sartori I. ↓, Michel Renner ↑,
60', Willian Gaucho 🟨,
64', 2 - 3, Patrick Valverde (Penalty Awarded),
67', Chung Wai-Keung ↓, Chan Siu-Kwan P. ↑,
71', Ngan Lok-Fung 🟨,
74', Goddard C. ↓, Lau K. ↑,
75', Marcao 🟨,
86', 🟨,
86', Camargo E. 🟨,
87', Marcao ↓, Kwok Chun-Nok ↑,
90', Gigauri M. ↓, Yung H. T. ↑,
90+8', Paulinho Simionato ↓, Korani K. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lee Man won 3.
Lee Man has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tai Po is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Tai Po may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Lee Man has had a series of away games.
Lee Man might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Lee Man won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:27. (average 2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Lee Man won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.9:1.6).